A fine day yesterday with five point bet Showcasing winning impressively. Mister Manannan was just touched off and perhaps should have won with a more forceful ride. Excellent stuff on the Knavesmire again today. The 2.50 handicap looks interesting in the sense that I can find reasons to oppose almost everything at the top end of the market. An occasional tactic of mine is to spread a few points across the bottom end of the market, evenly distributed rather than dutched, hoping one of the outsiders pops up at a price, and I think this is a perfect opportunity - plenty of these outsiders have a chance and there is not much in the race that can immediately be written off. I'll be backing ten at the high end of the market to smal stakes, using betfair - the advantage of this is that with betfair the horses at bigger prices are the ones with vastly inflated prices compared to the bookies S.P., so you get fantastic value. Sariska won the Irish Oaks so impressively because she handled the ground best, in my opinion. Midday didn't go a yard on the bog-like Curragh ground, very different to the Goodwood soft for the Nassau Stakes. With the ground riding fast, a small field, and a track which favours front runners, I'm laying Sariska to small stakes. Sir Michael Stoutes team are in fine form and his Leocorno is the one to be on in the 4.05. 3/1 looks a fair price, if she is forgiven her last run (excuses) she is the most progressive horse in the field and we are told she is working very well at home, and has had an uninterrupted preparation.
Best Recommendation:
2.50 York - Spread 3pts evenly around: Fishforcompliments, Patricians Glory, Wise Dennis, Charlie Cool, Extraterrestrial, Huzzah, Docofthebay, Kay Gee Be, Filipando, Alazayab. (ie. if you play £10 per point, back each one for £3)
3.25 York Lay Sariska to risk 3pts @ 1.36 (ie. to win ~ 8pts) Successful Lay
4.05 York Leocorno, 3pts win @ 3/1 (Generally, get a guaranteed price) 2nd
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