Thursday, October 15, 2009

Wednesday October 7th

An easy winner with Jackday yesterday and 4/1 looked huge in the end. One for this afternoon and a bet tonight.

In the 4.20 at Exeter, Mumbles Pier looks the one to be on. We think he won with a bit more in hand that visually apparent last time out and in a fairly weak race we reckon he could take the beating under Tony McCoy. He will be sent on from the front and I think McCoy will prove to be the difference in a close finish. He should be able to set a steady tempo, save a bit up his sleeve for the home straight, and hold on all out. You'd be surprised the difference a top jockey makes in these types of races.

Yvonne Evelyn has run well at Kempton track before and has showed signs on her last two runs that she may be up to breaking her maiden soon. She duelled for the lead with a horse who I reckon is pattern class last time out, fading on unsuitable ground before staying on again close home, and the time before she was only just denied in a similar contest to tonights at Lingfield. 1m 4f is her ideal distance and she is well drawn for a horse who likes to race prominently. She has it to do to beat the favourite but looks easily the most unexposed of the rest in my book and she represents decent each-way value at 18/1.

Best Recommendation:

4.20 Exeter Mumbles Pier, 4pts win @ 5.0 (Betfair)

7.20 Kempton Yvonne Evelyn 2pts each-way @ 18/1 (Generally)

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