Two for today.
Spice Run represents a trainer who has made a habit of doing well with the cast offs of others. Ex-Clive Cox Spice Run made her debut as a 5yo last year and has clearly been difficult to train, but the fact that she was sent off just 12/1 for a hot maiden on her first start suggests there is plenty of ability there. On her debut for Liddiard in September, she travelled easily on the pace in a good maiden before fading late on, and she shaped as if she might just be a sprinter in the making. She has been alloted a mark of 66 but it could be a decent piece of placing for Liddiard to send her to this weak maiden. There are plenty of poor performers in here and the favourite represents a yard who have been performing poorly all year. The second favourite has the best recent form in the book but is drawn in stall 12, and the rest look like mid-60's types at best. I think a RPR of 75 will win this and Spice Run looks the likliest improver from what I can see.
Augustus John should improve for his recent reappearance. He was noted travelling well before seeming to blow up in the last two furlongs, and the combination of a weaker race, a 4lb drop in the handicap, and extra fitness might be enough to see him get his head in front. He does not win often but looks safe place material, and with a couple of prominent racers bound to set a nice tempo to this, he can pick them up late for a second career win.
Best Recommendation:
2.30 Wolves Spice Run 3pts each-way @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) won
3.30 Wolves Augustus John 2pts each-way @ 15/2 (William Hill, Coral - price guaranteed) E/W 3rd
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