It has been a disappointing Monday and Tuesday, and our first bet today ran a bit of a nothing race. The last two months have been very kind to us, however, and we expect to get back on track tonight with our first maximum bet for a couple of weeks.
The 6.20 6f maiden at Kempton looks an interesting contest in that the odds-on favourite Mutafajer looks a short price on what he has acheived thus far. Godolphin's horses generally improve for their first run, and while Mutafajer did, he still only posted a rating in the mid 70's in doing so, and does not looks to be a world beater. Richard Hills takes this as his only ride on the card but I make the selection more of a 7/4 shot than 8/11 here and there is one in here I will confidently take him on with.
Forest Crown represents a stable who do really well here and have been in fine form in the last months of the season (16/1 maiden 3rd at Nottingham with their only other runner today). She is very well bred and the form of her debut run has worked out nicely. Having been off from June to October we can conclude that there was some sort of setback, but her reappearance run was full of promise. She drifted markedly in the betting having been on her toes in the paddock, and under a forgiving ride ran on well to finish fourth beaten 1 1/2 lengths over 5f, doing all her best work at the finish. If she strips fitter today and behaves in the preliminaries, she should improve quite a bit for the step up to six furlongs and her 5lb filies allowance should see her beat the favourite in my book. Lago Indiano's debut run was flagged up everywhere but I think Beckett's filly should have her measure also. This is a maximum confidence each-way selection.
Best Recommendation:
6.20 Kempton Forest Crown, 5pts each-way @ 11/2 (Stan James - guaranteed - Maximum Bet) won @ 7/1 - yet another big priced winning maximum bet!
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