Sunday, December 27, 2009
Merry Christmas!
We at Strikeline Racing would like to wish all our subscribers, as well as interested followers of our blog and, well, everyone really... a very merry Christmas and a prosperous New Year! :-)
Wednesday December 23rd
Well we were right back into the swing of things yesterday. Two winners and a second from four horses given meant a nice return on our yankee and a five point winning bet at 7/2 in the shape of Dart. Between now and Cheltenham I expect to make some serious profits, watch this space.
Two overpriced horses for the big two Xmas races.
Barber shop is 22/1 on Betfair and should be backed. He is an improving horse but I notice his record is better going right-handed than left. I expect an improved performance from him today and to make him a 20/1 shot is an over reaction on Stan James' behalf.
Aran Concerto is a really good price for the Lexus chase. He fell last time out, but was sent off 11/4 against Joncol who was 9/4, which should illustrate how highly thought of he is. I have been waiting forever to see this horse over three miles on soft ground, and I will not let the opportunity to back him at a big price go now that he does get to run over a staying trip.
We will also have an each-way double.
Best Recommendation:
King George: Barber Shop, 1.5 pts win @ 22/1 (Betfair)
Lexus Chase: Aran Concerto, 1.5 pts win @ 16/1 (Generally)
Above pair each-way double, 1pt e/w @ 20/1, 14/1 (Stan James)
Next mail will be on the 26th - Merry Xmas to you all from all of us!
Two overpriced horses for the big two Xmas races.
Barber shop is 22/1 on Betfair and should be backed. He is an improving horse but I notice his record is better going right-handed than left. I expect an improved performance from him today and to make him a 20/1 shot is an over reaction on Stan James' behalf.
Aran Concerto is a really good price for the Lexus chase. He fell last time out, but was sent off 11/4 against Joncol who was 9/4, which should illustrate how highly thought of he is. I have been waiting forever to see this horse over three miles on soft ground, and I will not let the opportunity to back him at a big price go now that he does get to run over a staying trip.
We will also have an each-way double.
Best Recommendation:
King George: Barber Shop, 1.5 pts win @ 22/1 (Betfair)
Lexus Chase: Aran Concerto, 1.5 pts win @ 16/1 (Generally)
Above pair each-way double, 1pt e/w @ 20/1, 14/1 (Stan James)
Next mail will be on the 26th - Merry Xmas to you all from all of us!
Tuesday December 22nd
With no racing tomorrow or on Xmas eve, we've had a look through today's Southwell card and to my surprise it looks very interesting.
In the 1.25, I thought First Swallow should have been favourite after his course and distance win on his penultimate run. He faded over 6f here last time, but returns to the minimum today and on my figures he still has a bit to spare with the handicapper. 7/2 looks a very good price.
On to the next, and Pocket's Pick also looks a fine bet at 4/1. His last two performances behind Ask Jenny suggest a drop back to the minimum should suit, and his keen going style tells me Southwell might just be a course which will suit him well. He is bred to be suited by artificial surfaces and I think if he had fibresand experience he would be as low as 5/2.
Mekong Miss runs in the 1m4f handicap (2.25) and her trainer Jonothan Jay has done well here over the years. The selection is still only a 3yo but has put up good performances here behind the likes of Lucky Punt. She goes well fresh and , with a bit more time behind her to mature, should put up a bold performance in this weak looking contest.
Dart came back to form last time out when posting a good figure here for a trainer who also does well at the course. He looks well handicapped now and looks big at 7/2 against Merrion Tiger, who I think may have beaten a non stayer last time out and might be vulnerable.
Four selections presents a bit of a headache, I think the best value lies in a small yankee and two win singles on what I see as the strongest selections.
Best recommendation:
Yankee, total 3pts, selections as above, 7/2, 4/1, 7/1, 7/2 (Bet 365, guaranteed)
21.5/1 double payout
1.25 Southwell First Swallow, 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
3.25 Southwell Dart, 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed) Won
Look out for some ante post advice and early xmas bets in the next 24 hours!
Two winners and a second from four selections on our return!
In the 1.25, I thought First Swallow should have been favourite after his course and distance win on his penultimate run. He faded over 6f here last time, but returns to the minimum today and on my figures he still has a bit to spare with the handicapper. 7/2 looks a very good price.
On to the next, and Pocket's Pick also looks a fine bet at 4/1. His last two performances behind Ask Jenny suggest a drop back to the minimum should suit, and his keen going style tells me Southwell might just be a course which will suit him well. He is bred to be suited by artificial surfaces and I think if he had fibresand experience he would be as low as 5/2.
Mekong Miss runs in the 1m4f handicap (2.25) and her trainer Jonothan Jay has done well here over the years. The selection is still only a 3yo but has put up good performances here behind the likes of Lucky Punt. She goes well fresh and , with a bit more time behind her to mature, should put up a bold performance in this weak looking contest.
Dart came back to form last time out when posting a good figure here for a trainer who also does well at the course. He looks well handicapped now and looks big at 7/2 against Merrion Tiger, who I think may have beaten a non stayer last time out and might be vulnerable.
Four selections presents a bit of a headache, I think the best value lies in a small yankee and two win singles on what I see as the strongest selections.
Best recommendation:
Yankee, total 3pts, selections as above, 7/2, 4/1, 7/1, 7/2 (Bet 365, guaranteed)
21.5/1 double payout
1.25 Southwell First Swallow, 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
3.25 Southwell Dart, 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed) Won
Look out for some ante post advice and early xmas bets in the next 24 hours!
Two winners and a second from four selections on our return!
Monday November 30th
One race of interest today.
Proud Linus shaped well on his return to the racecourse last time out in a maiden over 7f here. He travelled very well for the first half of the race but faded badly because of what I think were trip and fitness issues. He should strip fitter today and he steps down to 5f which is ideal - his debut run over this trip looks very good in comparison to the standard needed to win this race. A first time tongue tie is applied and his trainer has done very well this season with his small stable. Patrick Morris is another man whose string are in form and his Radiator Rooney ran an eye catching race at Lingfield last time out. The step back to five furlongs will also suit this gelding, and he should run better than his price suggests.
We're off on holidays now, and normal service will resume on December 23rd. There will be the odd mail between now and then if there are any strong bets, until then we'd like to wish you all the best in the run up to Christmas.
Best Recommendation:
2.40 Wolves Proud Linus, 3pts win @ 14/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
2.40 Wolves Radiator Rooney, 2pts win @ 20/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Proud Linus shaped well on his return to the racecourse last time out in a maiden over 7f here. He travelled very well for the first half of the race but faded badly because of what I think were trip and fitness issues. He should strip fitter today and he steps down to 5f which is ideal - his debut run over this trip looks very good in comparison to the standard needed to win this race. A first time tongue tie is applied and his trainer has done very well this season with his small stable. Patrick Morris is another man whose string are in form and his Radiator Rooney ran an eye catching race at Lingfield last time out. The step back to five furlongs will also suit this gelding, and he should run better than his price suggests.
We're off on holidays now, and normal service will resume on December 23rd. There will be the odd mail between now and then if there are any strong bets, until then we'd like to wish you all the best in the run up to Christmas.
Best Recommendation:
2.40 Wolves Proud Linus, 3pts win @ 14/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
2.40 Wolves Radiator Rooney, 2pts win @ 20/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Saturday November 28th
Another fantastic day yesterday with Leading Edge winning at 12/1, our only bet. I thought it was an inspired ride from Chris Catlin and it leaves us well in profit for the week again.
Three interests today on a magnificent day's racing, and I might add that I think Denman will win the Hennessy but the price is about right.
The Balding stable did us a big favour with Pittodrie Star last Saturday and they send Jokers Wild to contest the 6f maiden at Lingfield this afternoon (12.35). The selection doesn't look the best bred horse I've seen on the dams side, but he is by Compton Place, is a January foal, and is basically bred to make a 2yo sprinter on his sires side at least. He pulled the arms off Liam Keniry in a 7f maiden at Kempton on his debut, and he looks a really strongly built type of horse. I find it interesting he is stepped back to sprinting today, and it is well known that Andrew Balding's 2yos generally come on for their first run. He eventually finished last on his debut but he showed real promise to my eyes, and at 33/1 in an average maiden I think he is a monster price.
Duc Du Regniere tends to do well this time of year and I just fancy he could upset Big Bucks today. Nicky Henderson has his team in fine form and it doesn't take a genius to see that his horses first time out are a danger to all.
Toby Jug was impressive at Cheltenham last time out to my mind, he jumped like a stag on ground that did not suit and I think it is interesting Tony McCoy takes the ride today - the horses was given a fairly easy time of it at Cheltenham and I don't think his good jumping was made use of.
We will have no bets at Wolves tonight, but in the 9.20 I thought Miss Taken and Taeping were interesting. No harm to dutch the pair for those inclined to have an evening bet, but I have settled on the above three as our bets for the day.
No bets tomorrow, for those of you who have just joined up, we generally take Sundays off.
Best Recommendation:
12.35 Lingfield Jokers Wild, 2pts each-way @ 40/1 (Paddy Power, guaranteed, 33/1 guaranteed generally - bigger available on betfair)
1.35 Newbury Duc Du Regniere, 4pts win @ 7/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
3.25 Newbury Toby Jug 3pts win @ 8/1
Denman won
Three interests today on a magnificent day's racing, and I might add that I think Denman will win the Hennessy but the price is about right.
The Balding stable did us a big favour with Pittodrie Star last Saturday and they send Jokers Wild to contest the 6f maiden at Lingfield this afternoon (12.35). The selection doesn't look the best bred horse I've seen on the dams side, but he is by Compton Place, is a January foal, and is basically bred to make a 2yo sprinter on his sires side at least. He pulled the arms off Liam Keniry in a 7f maiden at Kempton on his debut, and he looks a really strongly built type of horse. I find it interesting he is stepped back to sprinting today, and it is well known that Andrew Balding's 2yos generally come on for their first run. He eventually finished last on his debut but he showed real promise to my eyes, and at 33/1 in an average maiden I think he is a monster price.
Duc Du Regniere tends to do well this time of year and I just fancy he could upset Big Bucks today. Nicky Henderson has his team in fine form and it doesn't take a genius to see that his horses first time out are a danger to all.
Toby Jug was impressive at Cheltenham last time out to my mind, he jumped like a stag on ground that did not suit and I think it is interesting Tony McCoy takes the ride today - the horses was given a fairly easy time of it at Cheltenham and I don't think his good jumping was made use of.
We will have no bets at Wolves tonight, but in the 9.20 I thought Miss Taken and Taeping were interesting. No harm to dutch the pair for those inclined to have an evening bet, but I have settled on the above three as our bets for the day.
No bets tomorrow, for those of you who have just joined up, we generally take Sundays off.
Best Recommendation:
12.35 Lingfield Jokers Wild, 2pts each-way @ 40/1 (Paddy Power, guaranteed, 33/1 guaranteed generally - bigger available on betfair)
1.35 Newbury Duc Du Regniere, 4pts win @ 7/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
3.25 Newbury Toby Jug 3pts win @ 8/1
Denman won
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