With no racing tomorrow or on Xmas eve, we've had a look through today's Southwell card and to my surprise it looks very interesting.
In the 1.25, I thought First Swallow should have been favourite after his course and distance win on his penultimate run. He faded over 6f here last time, but returns to the minimum today and on my figures he still has a bit to spare with the handicapper. 7/2 looks a very good price.
On to the next, and Pocket's Pick also looks a fine bet at 4/1. His last two performances behind Ask Jenny suggest a drop back to the minimum should suit, and his keen going style tells me Southwell might just be a course which will suit him well. He is bred to be suited by artificial surfaces and I think if he had fibresand experience he would be as low as 5/2.
Mekong Miss runs in the 1m4f handicap (2.25) and her trainer Jonothan Jay has done well here over the years. The selection is still only a 3yo but has put up good performances here behind the likes of Lucky Punt. She goes well fresh and , with a bit more time behind her to mature, should put up a bold performance in this weak looking contest.
Dart came back to form last time out when posting a good figure here for a trainer who also does well at the course. He looks well handicapped now and looks big at 7/2 against Merrion Tiger, who I think may have beaten a non stayer last time out and might be vulnerable.
Four selections presents a bit of a headache, I think the best value lies in a small yankee and two win singles on what I see as the strongest selections.
Best recommendation:
Yankee, total 3pts, selections as above, 7/2, 4/1, 7/1, 7/2 (Bet 365, guaranteed)
21.5/1 double payout
1.25 Southwell First Swallow, 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)
3.25 Southwell Dart, 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed) Won
Look out for some ante post advice and early xmas bets in the next 24 hours!
Two winners and a second from four selections on our return!
No comments:
Post a Comment