One maximum bet for today, and keep your eyes peeled as we have a likely bet tomorrow too.
Baylini represents the Doyle stable in the 3.40 at Lingfield. The selection needs a strong pace over ten furlongs, ideally at Lingfield, to show her best form, and with the presence of Mafeking in this contest as well as others who like to force the issue, this could be set up for a closer such as this mare. She is drawn in stall 8 which is perfect to allow Hayley Turner to drop her in towards the rear. She routinely runs 7lb better than her handicap mark over this course and distance and the only blot on that record is her run last time out, when she pulled hard in a slowly run race after a six month break. She tends to come to hand around January, and even though she doesn't look the most unexposed horse in the world, I am convinced she can win off a mark of 88 with the race run to suit. Looking at the opposition, many of them are either exposed or have question marks regarding race conditions or fitness. Baylini has no such worries on that score, and as a result we're backing her with maximum confidence at a price which does not do her form justice.
Best Recommendation:
3.40 Lingfield Baylini, 5pts each-way @ 14/1 (Skybet, 12/1 Generally - Maximum Bet) 2nd - lands the each-way money - yet another successful big priced maximum!
Friday, January 29, 2010
Wednesday January 13th
Annoying bog standard slow going cost us the race yesterday at Southwell, with our sprint-bred selection leading into the final furlong only to be overhauled by two late runners. We beat the price by a mile, and those of you that know your stats know that if you keep backing 13/2 shots that are sent off 7/2, it's only a matter of time before you're quids in.
A weird bumper card on the fibresand today, and the other two look like being called off. We'll hold our fire today. Lokking ahead, though, it seems as if we'll have a busy weekend, weather permitting.
A weird bumper card on the fibresand today, and the other two look like being called off. We'll hold our fire today. Lokking ahead, though, it seems as if we'll have a busy weekend, weather permitting.
Tuesday, January 13th
We beat all the prices yesterday significantly, but none of our selections hit the target. Shanafarahan was a non runner. I still think the weather is affecting track biases but it will not last much longer.
One for today.
Stash represents Reg Hollinshead and is ridden by the excellent Graham Gibbons. She is bred for fibresand and has showed plenty of ability in a short career despite not setting the world alight. She drops to a very low handicap mark of 64 today and looking at the opposition, I think she could be the best horse in the race by some way. We will have 4pts to win at 13/2.
There are a few invoices overdue, they will be sent this weekend.
Best Recommendation:
12.50 Southwell Stash, 4pts win @ 13/2 (Generally, get guaranteed).
One for today.
Stash represents Reg Hollinshead and is ridden by the excellent Graham Gibbons. She is bred for fibresand and has showed plenty of ability in a short career despite not setting the world alight. She drops to a very low handicap mark of 64 today and looking at the opposition, I think she could be the best horse in the race by some way. We will have 4pts to win at 13/2.
There are a few invoices overdue, they will be sent this weekend.
Best Recommendation:
12.50 Southwell Stash, 4pts win @ 13/2 (Generally, get guaranteed).
Monday January 12th
A jam packed day for us, straight to it.
In the 2.45 at Kempton, Lithaam resumes his rivalry with Fromsong on 2lb better terms than last time out. He is drawn in stall 7 which is about perfect for a pace stalker, and granted a clear run on the outside of Fromsong we expect him to reverse the form today. I expected him to be a 3/1 shot with the stable in such good nick, so 9/2 should be taken where possible. He led 1f out at Lingfield last time but raced on the inside which often is not the place to be at that track.
In the 3.15, Shanafarahan would be a maximum bet but for the presence of Dream Esteem. Both are drawn well for front running, which they will both probably do. I don't expect them to cut each other's throats,but neither will get an easy lead as far as I can tell. However, some of the market principals are hold up merchants, like Kames Park and Prince Charlamagne, and I think the race may pan out to favour these to prominent racers. Shanafarahan looks fairly handicapped again, is a course and distance winner, and represents a stable in blinding form. Dream Esteem is a complete dark horse but looks well handicapped on her best, represents another stable in very good form, and has a stack of entries over the coming days, suggesting she may be ready to win today first time out. We will dutch the pair.
Armaddy did not get home last time over two miles. He looks ready to win and is well handicapped, has a decent jockey on board in Philip Makin, and drops in class after facing some much superior types last time out. This looks a good bit of placing by Gary Moore, and 12/1 is far too big, we make him an 8/1 shot.
Best Recommendation:
2.45 Kempton Lithaam, 5pts win @ 5/1 (Blue Square, 888 Sport))
3.15 Kempton Shanafarahan, 4pts win @ 9/1 NON-RUNNER (Betfred, William Hill - guaranteed with William Hill), Dream Esteem, 4pts win @ 15/2 (Stan James).
3.45 Kempton Armaddy, 2pts win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
In the 2.45 at Kempton, Lithaam resumes his rivalry with Fromsong on 2lb better terms than last time out. He is drawn in stall 7 which is about perfect for a pace stalker, and granted a clear run on the outside of Fromsong we expect him to reverse the form today. I expected him to be a 3/1 shot with the stable in such good nick, so 9/2 should be taken where possible. He led 1f out at Lingfield last time but raced on the inside which often is not the place to be at that track.
In the 3.15, Shanafarahan would be a maximum bet but for the presence of Dream Esteem. Both are drawn well for front running, which they will both probably do. I don't expect them to cut each other's throats,but neither will get an easy lead as far as I can tell. However, some of the market principals are hold up merchants, like Kames Park and Prince Charlamagne, and I think the race may pan out to favour these to prominent racers. Shanafarahan looks fairly handicapped again, is a course and distance winner, and represents a stable in blinding form. Dream Esteem is a complete dark horse but looks well handicapped on her best, represents another stable in very good form, and has a stack of entries over the coming days, suggesting she may be ready to win today first time out. We will dutch the pair.
Armaddy did not get home last time over two miles. He looks ready to win and is well handicapped, has a decent jockey on board in Philip Makin, and drops in class after facing some much superior types last time out. This looks a good bit of placing by Gary Moore, and 12/1 is far too big, we make him an 8/1 shot.
Best Recommendation:
2.45 Kempton Lithaam, 5pts win @ 5/1 (Blue Square, 888 Sport))
3.15 Kempton Shanafarahan, 4pts win @ 9/1 NON-RUNNER (Betfred, William Hill - guaranteed with William Hill), Dream Esteem, 4pts win @ 15/2 (Stan James).
3.45 Kempton Armaddy, 2pts win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Saturday January 9th
Our apologies for the late e-mail today. The web connection in our local area was down due to adverse weather conditions. They seem to have sorted it out now after we had tried for an hour or two to get online, so on we trod. This weather is really affecting the racing. As I mentioned already, everything is less predictable. Track biases vary from day to day according to the amount of work on the track overnight (to clear snow, frost etc.) and you will find some really odd results happening until the weather evens out. It's boring for us bu we need to be careful during this time and wait for the weather to turn around before we can back anything with a large amount of confidence.
The best bet today is Sonhador, which won for us in October over the same course and distance as he runs over today. He is an improving and relatively young horse who has showed himself to be on good terms with himself as recently as nine days ago - and that was over an inadequate distance. 6f at Kempton is his ideal, he is back to a winning mark of 50 - which he is better than, and he is very well drawn in stall 12. If Saleem Golam can get a reasonable pitch early behind the leaders, I think he can stay on down the straight to win this moderate contest. The lack of solid opposition convinces me to play each-way.
Best Recommendation:
3.25 Kempton SONHADOR, 3pts e/w @ 8/1 (Stan James, Ladbrokes - guaranteed) Placed
The best bet today is Sonhador, which won for us in October over the same course and distance as he runs over today. He is an improving and relatively young horse who has showed himself to be on good terms with himself as recently as nine days ago - and that was over an inadequate distance. 6f at Kempton is his ideal, he is back to a winning mark of 50 - which he is better than, and he is very well drawn in stall 12. If Saleem Golam can get a reasonable pitch early behind the leaders, I think he can stay on down the straight to win this moderate contest. The lack of solid opposition convinces me to play each-way.
Best Recommendation:
3.25 Kempton SONHADOR, 3pts e/w @ 8/1 (Stan James, Ladbrokes - guaranteed) Placed
Friday January 8th
Unlucky not to get a return on our yankee yesterday with Argentine winning well.
The weather continues to affect racing and I have to be honest it is a tough time of year to be confident so maximum bets and the like will be in short supply until the weather takes a better turn. We can still eke out profits but with going, track bias, and work on the track all very much major factors, the racing becomes less predictable. I am still happy with one bet today.
Big Nige steps up to 1m4f for Jeff Pearce in a poor race. He has recently showed his well being and proved he has matured anough not to pull his chance away. I still think he is a stayer in the making, and Betfred's 5/2 is a touch too big. In fact I mnake him a 7/4 shot so there is a nice bit of value there percentage wise. We'll stake four points.
Best Recommendation:
3.00 Lingfield Big Nige, 4pts win @ 5/2 (Betfred)
The weather continues to affect racing and I have to be honest it is a tough time of year to be confident so maximum bets and the like will be in short supply until the weather takes a better turn. We can still eke out profits but with going, track bias, and work on the track all very much major factors, the racing becomes less predictable. I am still happy with one bet today.
Big Nige steps up to 1m4f for Jeff Pearce in a poor race. He has recently showed his well being and proved he has matured anough not to pull his chance away. I still think he is a stayer in the making, and Betfred's 5/2 is a touch too big. In fact I mnake him a 7/4 shot so there is a nice bit of value there percentage wise. We'll stake four points.
Best Recommendation:
3.00 Lingfield Big Nige, 4pts win @ 5/2 (Betfred)
Thursday January 7th
Nothing very solid today on slow going at Southwell. However, I am going to play a small yankee which might just turn into a big payout if we've called a couple of them correctly.
In the 12.40, Hart Of Gold seems to be in better form than this lot if he translates his form to fibresand. His trainer does well here.
In the 1.10, course specialist Xpres Maite is reunited with the jockey who has won 5 times on him, his ideal course and distance, his correct time of year, and slow going he acts on. He looks a big price.
In the 2.40, Argentine looks big at 9/2. I've been waiting on him to try this course and distance again and he is on a fair mark.
And in the 3.40, Onemoreandstay looks overpriced against opposition she can beat now she is bound to strip fitter after two recent runs. 10/3 is too big.
Best Recommendation:
3pts yankee (total 3pts outlay) on the above (9/2, 11/2, 9/2, 10/3) - Stan James - all prices guaranteed and we expect Xpres Maite to drift.
Argentine Won
In the 12.40, Hart Of Gold seems to be in better form than this lot if he translates his form to fibresand. His trainer does well here.
In the 1.10, course specialist Xpres Maite is reunited with the jockey who has won 5 times on him, his ideal course and distance, his correct time of year, and slow going he acts on. He looks a big price.
In the 2.40, Argentine looks big at 9/2. I've been waiting on him to try this course and distance again and he is on a fair mark.
And in the 3.40, Onemoreandstay looks overpriced against opposition she can beat now she is bound to strip fitter after two recent runs. 10/3 is too big.
Best Recommendation:
3pts yankee (total 3pts outlay) on the above (9/2, 11/2, 9/2, 10/3) - Stan James - all prices guaranteed and we expect Xpres Maite to drift.
Argentine Won
Wednesday January 6th
Obviously no bets today with everything abandoned.
A nice winner with Elusive Warrior, but the advise was not to back unless it was 2/1 and he did not reach that price. 8/11 winners aren't our thing! Always nice to call it correctly though.
I know some of you still aren't receiving text messages, but the problem is now sorted and you should receive them as normal from today.
Back tomorrow for a feast of all weather action. Also, our Cheltenham Ante Post portfolio is in the pre-production stage! It will be released near the end of this month so keep your eyes peeled! The build up to the second greatest show on earth (after the World Cup!) is my favourite time of year and we're all looking forward to the main event in March.
A nice winner with Elusive Warrior, but the advise was not to back unless it was 2/1 and he did not reach that price. 8/11 winners aren't our thing! Always nice to call it correctly though.
I know some of you still aren't receiving text messages, but the problem is now sorted and you should receive them as normal from today.
Back tomorrow for a feast of all weather action. Also, our Cheltenham Ante Post portfolio is in the pre-production stage! It will be released near the end of this month so keep your eyes peeled! The build up to the second greatest show on earth (after the World Cup!) is my favourite time of year and we're all looking forward to the main event in March.
Tuesday, January 5th
A nice 4/1 winner and 20pts profit on Sunday. For those of you who are new to us, you can see how our staking system works. We're down 19pts since Christmas which is really only one winner for us on average, and that was our longest run without a winner since September. The plan for the first part of the year is to be 200-300 points up by the end of the Cheltenham festival. At £10 per point, that equals £2,000 - £3,000 profit, and after some retrospective analysis of our performance last year, it is a very achievable target.
Just one for today, Elusive Warrior represents an in form team at Southwell in the 1.40 contest. He is forecast 5/4 but I will take the chance that he might drift to 2/1 at some point, which is a price I feel represents value. He should get the easy lead he requires here and blow this lot away. Ask for 2/1 on Betfair, and let the bet lapse if he does not reach that price by the off.
Best Recommendation:
1.40 Southwell Elusive Warrior, 5pts win @ 3.0 (Betfair, requested price). Won
Just one for today, Elusive Warrior represents an in form team at Southwell in the 1.40 contest. He is forecast 5/4 but I will take the chance that he might drift to 2/1 at some point, which is a price I feel represents value. He should get the easy lead he requires here and blow this lot away. Ask for 2/1 on Betfair, and let the bet lapse if he does not reach that price by the off.
Best Recommendation:
1.40 Southwell Elusive Warrior, 5pts win @ 3.0 (Betfair, requested price). Won
Sunday, January 3rd
We have one bet today, unusual for a Sunday but we had no idea this horse would be the price it is.
Avenuesnalleyways represents the Beckett stable, who do really well at Kempton in general but really struck gold last year in maidens at this course. The selection made a very promising debut in a race which has worked out quite well and looks better than this contest, running green before getting the message late on and staying on quite well near te finish. Beckett's horses tend to come on for the run and in a moderate field, we think he should take the beating. Stall one is a negative butmany of these are inexperienced and he should be able to get a good early position and stay on late to land the spoils.
No bets tomorrow, the Wolves card looks awful. We may not bet Tuesday either, the racing also looks very poor, but expect a mail at 12.30pm Tuesday either way.
Best Recommendation:
3.05 Kempton Avenuesnalleyways, 5pts win @ 4/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) Won
Avenuesnalleyways represents the Beckett stable, who do really well at Kempton in general but really struck gold last year in maidens at this course. The selection made a very promising debut in a race which has worked out quite well and looks better than this contest, running green before getting the message late on and staying on quite well near te finish. Beckett's horses tend to come on for the run and in a moderate field, we think he should take the beating. Stall one is a negative butmany of these are inexperienced and he should be able to get a good early position and stay on late to land the spoils.
No bets tomorrow, the Wolves card looks awful. We may not bet Tuesday either, the racing also looks very poor, but expect a mail at 12.30pm Tuesday either way.
Best Recommendation:
3.05 Kempton Avenuesnalleyways, 5pts win @ 4/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) Won
Saturday, January 2nd
Two bets for today. Just a note first to mention, that our recent form has been average compared to the pre-xmas period. Like I always say, with our service one bet can make a hell of a lot of difference so be sure to keep everything to the correct stakes. We're hundreds of points up since September so we're only playing with profits. The selection methods always stay the same but patience can be required - most of you are aware of that but for those of you who have recently joined it is something to bear in mind. We would like to think our clientele recognise the fundamental soundness of our approach, as opposed to Thommo and co who will give you five even money shots a day, two of which will probably win... enuff said!!
Strategic Mover is stepped up to seven furlongs for the 1.35 handicap at Lingfield. He recently moved to this small stable from Paul Cole, and after experimenting with his trip, the drop to six furlongs saw him finish his race well last time. Seven furlongs looks like it could be his ideal trip, and he has some very interesting back class despite never having won a race - he was rated 100 as recently as last year! This fella is no old dog, he is still a relatively young horse and it looks as if he is ready to start climbing the weights again off a mark of just 55. His decent claimer takes a further 3lb off.
Onceuponatime holds a strong favourites chance in the 6f handicap at Southwell. He travelled well and was only just beaten last time over this course and distance by a horse who is quite simply a class above this lot. There is plenty of pace on which should suit, and 3/1 looks too big - I made him a 2/1 shot.
Best Recommendation:
1.35 Lingfield Strategic Mover, 2pts each-way @ 14/1 (Sporting Bet, Blue Square, guaranteed)
3.05 Southwell Onceuponatime, 5pts win @ 3/1 (Totesport, Ladbrokes, guaranteed)
Strategic Mover is stepped up to seven furlongs for the 1.35 handicap at Lingfield. He recently moved to this small stable from Paul Cole, and after experimenting with his trip, the drop to six furlongs saw him finish his race well last time. Seven furlongs looks like it could be his ideal trip, and he has some very interesting back class despite never having won a race - he was rated 100 as recently as last year! This fella is no old dog, he is still a relatively young horse and it looks as if he is ready to start climbing the weights again off a mark of just 55. His decent claimer takes a further 3lb off.
Onceuponatime holds a strong favourites chance in the 6f handicap at Southwell. He travelled well and was only just beaten last time over this course and distance by a horse who is quite simply a class above this lot. There is plenty of pace on which should suit, and 3/1 looks too big - I made him a 2/1 shot.
Best Recommendation:
1.35 Lingfield Strategic Mover, 2pts each-way @ 14/1 (Sporting Bet, Blue Square, guaranteed)
3.05 Southwell Onceuponatime, 5pts win @ 3/1 (Totesport, Ladbrokes, guaranteed)
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Friday January 1st
Two bets at Southwell today.
A chance is taken on Richard Fahey's Danderek in the 12.25 contest. He disappointed in a bumper before showing improved form despite looking green at Kempton last time out. Fahey has not been in the best of form but he sends a large team to the races today and in the coming days, and it may be that they are going to have a real go at it over the coming weeks - they had a winner here the other day and his placement of horses is excellent. This is a poor maiden and he wouldn't have to be anything out of the ordinary to win it. I think the price may drift so make sure to get guaranteed.
Ibrox looks a progressive stayer at this course and odds of 5/1 don't do him justice in the 1m6f handicap at 1.35pm. He has yet to prove he stays this far but 1m4f has been no problem to him and he really revels in this fibresand surface. He has top weight to carry but I can't see any reason why he is five times the price of Dart. Baltimore Patriot has it all to prove on the surface and Ibrox looks like a good investment at the prices.
Best Recommendation:
12.25 Southwell Danderek, 4pts win @ 4/1 (Stan James, Boylesports - guaranteed)
1.35 Southwell Ibrox, 4pts win @ 5/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
A chance is taken on Richard Fahey's Danderek in the 12.25 contest. He disappointed in a bumper before showing improved form despite looking green at Kempton last time out. Fahey has not been in the best of form but he sends a large team to the races today and in the coming days, and it may be that they are going to have a real go at it over the coming weeks - they had a winner here the other day and his placement of horses is excellent. This is a poor maiden and he wouldn't have to be anything out of the ordinary to win it. I think the price may drift so make sure to get guaranteed.
Ibrox looks a progressive stayer at this course and odds of 5/1 don't do him justice in the 1m6f handicap at 1.35pm. He has yet to prove he stays this far but 1m4f has been no problem to him and he really revels in this fibresand surface. He has top weight to carry but I can't see any reason why he is five times the price of Dart. Baltimore Patriot has it all to prove on the surface and Ibrox looks like a good investment at the prices.
Best Recommendation:
12.25 Southwell Danderek, 4pts win @ 4/1 (Stan James, Boylesports - guaranteed)
1.35 Southwell Ibrox, 4pts win @ 5/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Thursday December 31st
A nice 20/1 place yesterday with Big Nige filling third spot. He looks a stayer in the making.
Poor stuff today but I'm going to have a small interest on Pockets Pick in the 3.00 at Lingfield. He was impressive at Southwell and appears to be getting his act together. 11/4 looks too big and I'll have a medium win bet.
Happy New Year to you all!
Best Recommendation:
3.00 Lingfield Pockets Pick, 5pts win @ 11/4 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Poor stuff today but I'm going to have a small interest on Pockets Pick in the 3.00 at Lingfield. He was impressive at Southwell and appears to be getting his act together. 11/4 looks too big and I'll have a medium win bet.
Happy New Year to you all!
Best Recommendation:
3.00 Lingfield Pockets Pick, 5pts win @ 11/4 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Wednesday December 30th
Two interests for today.
Big Nige is an interesting entry for the 1m2f maiden race at Lingfield (3.05). Trainer Jeff Pearce does really well on the all weather with stayers in particular (Dayia, Dazzling Begum etc) and he generally gives horses plenty of time to find their form and develop. Big Nige has shown only moderate form to date but he has tended to pull hard and has looked immature. His best form was on the all weather last winter so conditions are in his favour today. He has qualified for handicaps off a mark of 64, which he looks capable of winning off, so it is interesting that Pearce enters him in this weak maiden. It may be that he feels he has found a good opportunity to go for the win against an unraced favourite, and some poor market rivals. If the selection has matured and is fit and ready to go, he could win this at a big price. Stable and jockey had a 33/1 winner here the other day and have been in good form. The unusual volume of interest on the betfair place market also bodes well.
We have a big priced selection in the final race of the night at Kempton. Grand Honour represents Paul Howling. The selection has come slowly down the weights of late and is not a regular winner, but he does get his ideal conditions tonight - a likely strong pace over 7f at Kempton. He should be fit after a recent run over a mile here, following a long few months break. The run over a mile seemed to suggest he is in good heart, he pulled hard and made a challenge approaching the furlong pole before fading near the finish. He was never going to get into it from behind in that small field and the drop back in trip tonight combined with 13 runners looks ideal. 33/1 is too big, we had him down as a 16/1 shot and I'm happy to take a chance at rewarding odds.
Best Recommendation:
3.05 Lingfield Big Nige, 3pts each-way @ 16/1 (Generally, guaranteed) placed @ 20/1
9.20 Kempton Grand Honour, 2pts each-way @ 33/1 (Generally, guaranteed)
Big Nige is an interesting entry for the 1m2f maiden race at Lingfield (3.05). Trainer Jeff Pearce does really well on the all weather with stayers in particular (Dayia, Dazzling Begum etc) and he generally gives horses plenty of time to find their form and develop. Big Nige has shown only moderate form to date but he has tended to pull hard and has looked immature. His best form was on the all weather last winter so conditions are in his favour today. He has qualified for handicaps off a mark of 64, which he looks capable of winning off, so it is interesting that Pearce enters him in this weak maiden. It may be that he feels he has found a good opportunity to go for the win against an unraced favourite, and some poor market rivals. If the selection has matured and is fit and ready to go, he could win this at a big price. Stable and jockey had a 33/1 winner here the other day and have been in good form. The unusual volume of interest on the betfair place market also bodes well.
We have a big priced selection in the final race of the night at Kempton. Grand Honour represents Paul Howling. The selection has come slowly down the weights of late and is not a regular winner, but he does get his ideal conditions tonight - a likely strong pace over 7f at Kempton. He should be fit after a recent run over a mile here, following a long few months break. The run over a mile seemed to suggest he is in good heart, he pulled hard and made a challenge approaching the furlong pole before fading near the finish. He was never going to get into it from behind in that small field and the drop back in trip tonight combined with 13 runners looks ideal. 33/1 is too big, we had him down as a 16/1 shot and I'm happy to take a chance at rewarding odds.
Best Recommendation:
3.05 Lingfield Big Nige, 3pts each-way @ 16/1 (Generally, guaranteed) placed @ 20/1
9.20 Kempton Grand Honour, 2pts each-way @ 33/1 (Generally, guaranteed)
Monday, December 28th
Aran Concerto has already been advised and once he runs a place, we collect on our each-way double.
Golden Prospect is a course and distance winner representing Julia Tooth, who does well with her small string. She has recently been running him in blinkers and his form has improved slightly. What interests me today is his draw in stall two - Julia likes to run many of her horses from the front and I just think she may be tempted to send Golden Prospect on in the blinkers, given how hard he has pulled in them last twice. He could get an easy lead and get away from this bunch, similar to the way Triskaidekaphobia did at Lingfield earlier this month, representing the same trainer and jockey. Even without a change in tactics, I think 11/1 is a very big price and I'm happy to play to moderate stakes.
Lindy Lou represents the in-form Alan Fleming / Timmy Murphy combination. She is my bet of the day, she won very easily last time and looks like a definite improver.I think she should be favourite and 9/2 is a big price. The only thing that tempers enthusiasm is her inexperience, but she seems to have taken to the game well and today looks like an ideal race for her.
Best Recommendation:
3.35 Leicester Lindy Lou 6pts win @ 4/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed)
4.15 Wolves Golden Prospect, 3pts win @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Already Advised:
Lexus Chase, Aran Concerto 1.5pts win @ 20/1, e/w double with Barber Shop
Golden Prospect is a course and distance winner representing Julia Tooth, who does well with her small string. She has recently been running him in blinkers and his form has improved slightly. What interests me today is his draw in stall two - Julia likes to run many of her horses from the front and I just think she may be tempted to send Golden Prospect on in the blinkers, given how hard he has pulled in them last twice. He could get an easy lead and get away from this bunch, similar to the way Triskaidekaphobia did at Lingfield earlier this month, representing the same trainer and jockey. Even without a change in tactics, I think 11/1 is a very big price and I'm happy to play to moderate stakes.
Lindy Lou represents the in-form Alan Fleming / Timmy Murphy combination. She is my bet of the day, she won very easily last time and looks like a definite improver.I think she should be favourite and 9/2 is a big price. The only thing that tempers enthusiasm is her inexperience, but she seems to have taken to the game well and today looks like an ideal race for her.
Best Recommendation:
3.35 Leicester Lindy Lou 6pts win @ 4/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed)
4.15 Wolves Golden Prospect, 3pts win @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Already Advised:
Lexus Chase, Aran Concerto 1.5pts win @ 20/1, e/w double with Barber Shop
Sunday, December 27th
Barber Shop ran third yesterday and if Aran Concerto runs a place, we have a 20/1+ place double on our hands. It has to be said Kauto Star was awesome.
Two bets today.
Flash McGahon looks overpriced in the Southwell claimer, representing a team that are renowned for their sprinters and who do really well here. He has been on the downgrade for a while but there have been signs in his recent runs that the ability is still there and after a recent pipe opener, blinkers are reapplied today. He is superior to this lot on his best form, and it could be that he rediscovers his spark today.
Flores Sea represents David Barron who also does really well at this track.I've been waiting for him to find form and after reviewing his last couple of runs, I think he should be ready to win today. He is well capable off this mark and should go close.
Best Recommendation:
1.40 Southwell Flash McGahon 3pts win @ 11/1 (Stan James, guaranteed)
2.50 Southwell Flores Sea 3pts win @ 13/2 (Stan James, Paddy Power, guaranteed)
Two bets today.
Flash McGahon looks overpriced in the Southwell claimer, representing a team that are renowned for their sprinters and who do really well here. He has been on the downgrade for a while but there have been signs in his recent runs that the ability is still there and after a recent pipe opener, blinkers are reapplied today. He is superior to this lot on his best form, and it could be that he rediscovers his spark today.
Flores Sea represents David Barron who also does really well at this track.I've been waiting for him to find form and after reviewing his last couple of runs, I think he should be ready to win today. He is well capable off this mark and should go close.
Best Recommendation:
1.40 Southwell Flash McGahon 3pts win @ 11/1 (Stan James, guaranteed)
2.50 Southwell Flores Sea 3pts win @ 13/2 (Stan James, Paddy Power, guaranteed)
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