A jam packed day for us, straight to it.
In the 2.45 at Kempton, Lithaam resumes his rivalry with Fromsong on 2lb better terms than last time out. He is drawn in stall 7 which is about perfect for a pace stalker, and granted a clear run on the outside of Fromsong we expect him to reverse the form today. I expected him to be a 3/1 shot with the stable in such good nick, so 9/2 should be taken where possible. He led 1f out at Lingfield last time but raced on the inside which often is not the place to be at that track.
In the 3.15, Shanafarahan would be a maximum bet but for the presence of Dream Esteem. Both are drawn well for front running, which they will both probably do. I don't expect them to cut each other's throats,but neither will get an easy lead as far as I can tell. However, some of the market principals are hold up merchants, like Kames Park and Prince Charlamagne, and I think the race may pan out to favour these to prominent racers. Shanafarahan looks fairly handicapped again, is a course and distance winner, and represents a stable in blinding form. Dream Esteem is a complete dark horse but looks well handicapped on her best, represents another stable in very good form, and has a stack of entries over the coming days, suggesting she may be ready to win today first time out. We will dutch the pair.
Armaddy did not get home last time over two miles. He looks ready to win and is well handicapped, has a decent jockey on board in Philip Makin, and drops in class after facing some much superior types last time out. This looks a good bit of placing by Gary Moore, and 12/1 is far too big, we make him an 8/1 shot.
Best Recommendation:
2.45 Kempton Lithaam, 5pts win @ 5/1 (Blue Square, 888 Sport))
3.15 Kempton Shanafarahan, 4pts win @ 9/1 NON-RUNNER (Betfred, William Hill - guaranteed with William Hill), Dream Esteem, 4pts win @ 15/2 (Stan James).
3.45 Kempton Armaddy, 2pts win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
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