Friday, February 26, 2010

Friday February 19th

We were really unlucky with Magic Millie failing to get up under her inexperienced rider yesterday and she is one to follow.

One of those days today that has thrown up four bets. We are very confident of returns today - we have outlaid 19pts.

In the 1m5f handicap at Lingfield, Nelson Vettori looks excellent value against some moderate opponents at 9/2. He shaped really well after a long break three weeks ago in a maiden in which the horse who finished behind him has won since. The selection is bred to improve with time and distance and if he has come on for his reappearance run, he looks the type physically who is open to improvement. He was given a quiet, patient ride last time and didn't get the best of runs. The extra furlong today will suit perfectly and if Steve Drowne makes a little more use of him, his stamina can win the day.

Vintage looks a knocking bet in the six furlong sprint. He was almost maximum material when he was entered at Kempton a week or so ago but he was declared a non runner that morning. The visual evidence of his last run suggests he is ready to win dropped back to his favourite trip and he is perfectly drawn to stalk Fromsong here. He has attracted support this morning but 7/2 is still good value.

Ginger Jack was an 11/8 shot in my book this morning so odds of 2/1 on the Mark Johnston improver look worth taking this morning. The selection won a decent looking maiden at Kempton last time and is in here off a fair mark. The second has gone and won since, and the Elsworth second string who showed promise has since gone and won a half decent maiden by eight lengths. If the selection continues to improve here, he is a big price at 2/1.

Premio Loco looks the call in the 6.15 at Meydan and is a good each-way price at 10/1. The selection ran an excellent race on his reappearance, blowing up in the straight before staying on again into fifth in the closing stages. It has been reported that he needed that run badly, and I think he is the best horse in this race over tonights conditions. 10/1 is an underestimation of his talents.

Best Recommendation:

1.25 Lingfield Nelson Vettori, 4pts win @ 9/2 (Generally, get guaranteed)

3.30 Lingfield Vintage, 5pts win @ 7/2 (Generally, get guaranteed) WON

4.10 Lingfield Ginger Jack, 6pts win @ 2/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) WON


6.00 Meydan Premio Loco, 2pts each-way @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

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