Friday, February 5, 2010

Monday January 25th

Today's card at Wolves looks very bettable and we're going to have a good go at it.


In the opening race, Premier Charge looks a decent price against a strong favourite and some moderate opposition. He pulled very hard last time out against a couple of opponents who were a bit better than
today's opposition and it was only after being hampered near the finish that he gave best. The step back
to 7f could be the answer for him as he clearly possesses a certain amount of speed and is eager to get
on with things. The form of the favourite's win last time out looks average and should he bounce or fail
to follow up, the selection looks a good bet to pick up the pieces.


Henry Cecil's Zerzura was very green first time out but if he comes on for the experience, I think he could
be the best horse in this line up by some way. He has had three weeks or so to tighten up after the debut
run, and although he showed little on his first run, he was easily the best looker in the field and made some good mid race progress before tiring and giving best to some more experienced rivals. This is the kind of bet where he could either blow this lot away or trail in in midfield (if he in fact is a moderate horse) but I think there is ability there, otherwise I could not see Tom Queally riding and Cecil persevering. Wolverhampton may also suit better than Lingfield. Paddy Power's 10/3 is too big.


David Pipe's Estate has every chance of turning around form with Leyte Gulf off 4lb better terms today. The selection should be at peak fitness on his third run after a break, and looks well handicapped on some old form. The absolute crawl last time did not suit his running style, and even a moderately better gallop will see him go closer today.


Andy Haynes has a habit of getting the best out of other trainer's cast offs and he has been feeling his way with the ex-John Best Great Bounder. This fella ran well in a hands and heels race last time out having missed the break and travelled wide all the way, and he stayed on well down Southwell's galloping home straight. The step up in trip should work in his favour today and Tom Queally, who does well for the trainer, takes the ride. 3/1 looks fair.


We're having a good cut at this card, so it is more important than ever that you takes the best prices, get guaranteed prices where possible (especially in the multiples) and stick to the advised staking plans. In fact, this is of the utmost importance pretty much every day!


Best Recommendation:


1.45 Wolves Premier Charge, 3pts win @ 15/2 (VC Bet, guaranteed)


3.30 Lingfield Zerzura, 5pts win @ 10/3 (VC Bet, Paddy Power, guaranteed) WON


4.40 Wolves Estate, 3pts win @ 7/1 (Ladbrokes, guaranteed)


5.10 Wolves Great Bounder, 5pts win @ 11/4 (Generally, get guaranteed)

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