One bet for today which we think is really overpriced.
Pete's Passion represents the Richard Fahey / Paul Hanagan combination who were so successful last flat season and ended up having their best year ever. They went through an average patch after, I reckon Fahey let the horses down, so to speak, for a few months in order to preserve their longevity as racehorses - something many trainers do. However, four of his last nine representatives have won, and it appears to me as though they're striking form again - a monkey could see that.
As for the selection, she is a very well bred daughter of Rock Of Gibraltar. She is related to some classy sorts, and is a half sister to Mick Channon's Kalam Daleel, who posted an RPR of 90 second time out when winning by 15 lengths at Brighton. She cost 40,000 guineas at the sales and on paper looks a lot better than any of these. She was sent off 9/2 and strong in the market for a good York maiden last July, but pulled too hard and would not let herself down on the ground, eventually fading into what amounts into a virtual no show on the ratings.
So, we're taking a chance with this horse but I think she should appreciate the kinder surface today, and if Fahey has readied her to win first time after a break (I can't see any other motivation for running her for the second time at this time of year) then she can at the very least run into a place against what will become 55-65 rated modest handicappers. 20/1 is way overpriced in my view, 9/1 is what I had chalked up, and if this race was in midsummer when the Fahey stable were taking all before them, she would be an 8/1 shot early doors. I'm having a decent each-way bet.
Best Recommendation:
1.40 Lingfield Pete's Passion, 3pts e/w @ 20/1 (Betfred, Bet 365 - guaranteed)
No comments:
Post a Comment