Our record with maximum bets is pretty much second to none, and we continued the trend yesterday with our 14/1 maximum Baylini taking the each way money home for us. She finished a close second and touched 1.21 in running for those of you who like to trade out of your bets. A monster payout from a 14/1 max would have been just the ticket after our recent middling form, which I put down to the laws of probability and the weather, but the early pace just wasn't quite strong enough - Mafeking didn't bolt clear like he has been recently and I think that's what cost us the win.
You won't find another service advising maximums at double figure prices like we do (a confident bet at something like even money is NEVER a max for me, it doesn't make sense - a max should pay your large risk off handsomely), and I think our strike rate is around 90% for around ten bets in the past year, the lowest price being 9/2 off the top of my head, the highest a 16/1 winner (
Dance Card last August). Controlled aggression in your staking is the path to real profits provided you are selecting the right horses.
On to today.
Two small bets, the first one being West Ham to beat Aston Villa at Villa Park. I priced up the Hammers as a 9/2 shot and 7/1 really surprises me despite their league position. Villa are, for me, the smash-and-grab away experts, but I like taking them on at a short price at home. Some of you might prefer to lay them at around 4/7, but I'll take the 7/1 on the away side and trade later in the game if a suitable opportunity arises.
At Wolves, I can't believe the price on Moscow Oznick in the 1m4f handicap. He was confidently ridden last time out and was well on top at the finish - he is relatively lightly raced and looks like an improving horse in my view. I regularly see horses with this profile go in again at a bigger price than they should, and 7/1 is an insult to his small stable here. (On that note, I was gutted we didn't follow up on Elusive Warrior last time, who won at 9/1 after we had backed him to win (won 8/11 SP) on his previous run!)
Best Recommendation:
West Ham United, 2pts win @ 7/1 (VC Bet)
Moscow Oznick, 4pts win @ 7/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
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