Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Thursday February 4th

It really hasn't been the best of starts to February after our first losing month since April 2009 in January. My reaction to losing runs is always quite a simple one: I work twice as hard and put more hours in, as do the rest of the team. You can rest assured that any tips released over the next weeks will be the result of hours of analysis, even more than we generally put in. Losing runs need to be overcome for everyone's sake, those of you that stick with our long-proven methods will be rewarded.

Charging Indian travelled very well and was well supported in second time blinkers last time out. I think he has a better jockey on board than Bosamcliff and if he turns up the same horse today, he can confirm form with Dave Evans charge. The favourite has won two on the bounce but is unproven here, and the form of his victories looks inferior to what Charging Indian has done recently. 4/1 is too big.

Lindy Lou will probably be seen at Cheltenham is she is the horse I think she is. Her form behind Silk Affair last year is top drawer and highlighted how much raw ability she has. She was a little disappointing last time out but still ran second behind a good horse, and reunited with Timmy Murphy today she can justify favouritism.

"Annoying" Hugh Taylor has again scuppered a big price for us today by tipping Steel Mask in the 4.30 at Southwell. I was looking at an each-way bet at around 20/1 but the prices were snapped up by Hugh's lemmings just after 11.30am. In future, anything at a price will probably be sent early to avoid this happening, meaning we can get the best prices, and analysis will follow later. Three points win at the 16/1 available on Betfair will pay a handsome dividend if the horse wins, and that is the way we'll play. The selection represents a team in red hot form who routinely have big priced winners here, Hugh doesn't mention it, but he looks a very big, scopey horse who should really enjoy six furlongs here, and off a mark of 47 with a decent 7lb claimer riding, he should go close.

Best Recommendation:

2.30 Southwell Charging Indian 4pts win @ 4/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) won @ 9/2

3.20 Wincanton Lindy Lou 6pts win @ 3/1 (Sporting Bet, 11/4 guaranteed generally)

4.30 Southwell Steel Mask, 3pts win @ 17.0 (Betfair only)

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