Friday, February 5, 2010

Wednesday January 27th

We're getting stuck in again today for two very bettable cards and we expect profits.

In the 2.00 6f maiden at Lingfield, Ceto looks very much overpriced at 25/1 with Corals. The selection made his recent debut over 7f here in a maiden which has thrown up two next time out winners and two seconds. He missed the break and pulled too hard mid race, shaping as though he would come on for the experience, fading in the final furlong but beaten only around four lengths. If he is smarter from the stalls today and improves for that run, he has every chance of winning this poor contest - the market principals look very average. Trainer Phil McEntee boasts a respectable 13% strike rate at this course and does particularly well with sprinters. This fella is bred to be half decent over six furlongs at this stage of his career, and 25/1 is much too big.

Proud Linus represents a stable who done well last year and we think he will be up to winning a race soon if not today off his current lenient mark. He showed the first signs last time out that is is ready to see his races out a little better, and if he can settle better in the early stages he has the ability to be much better than a 60 rated handicapper. The step up to seven furlongs is an unknown but he wasn't stopping last time and if he settles for Ryan Powell a shock result could be on the cards. We'll be following this horse in the coming weeks as we think there are a couple of handicaps in him when he gets going.

Absa Lutte looks a nice price for the 5f handicap at Kempton. She has hit a really good run of form and has been very good to us in the last months. Plenty of pace in this race means it should set up nicely for her to finish and if the young jockey can get her out of the stalls lively and tuck her in, she has every chance.

Tealing should appreciate the step back to six furlongs in the handicap at Kempton. Love Delta looks on a high enough mark now for winning some poor races and with many of these likely to be prominent early, I can see a good pace and Tealing should come late to take advantage. He is probably the bet of the day in my opinion.

Best Recommendation:

2.00 Lingfield Ceto, 2pts e/w @ 25/1 (Coral, guaranteed) E/W 2nd

4.30 Lingfield Proud Linus, 1pt e/w @ 33/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

5.40 Kempton Absa Lutte 4pts win @ 13/2 (Sporting Bet, 6/1 guaranteed generally)

7.10 Kempton Tealing, 4pts win @ 8/1 (Boylesports, guaranteed)

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