Friday, February 5, 2010

Thursday January 28th

Our 25/1 shot Ceto did us proud yesterday, running second after missing the break, which cost him the win. I think if he had had another run under his belt, he'd have won the race, but the each-way money was landed. Absa Lutte needs 6f these days I reckon, and Tealing disappointed.

In the 6f seller, course and distance winner King's Ace looks overpriced on the basis of decent performances in better company recently. On his penultimate run, he acquitted himself well behind to 70-rated horses, and last time out he was upsides the course specialist Madison Belle (a 70 horse at her best in my view) after six of the seven furlongs, having pulled for his head under restraint during the race. The step back to 6f is ideal for him today and I think a reproduction of that last run will see him go close to winning this.

Aaman sticks out a mile in the 1m6f handicap as the most progressive horse in the field. Visual evidence suggests this big grey hits the ground quite hard and I think fibresand will suit him - his sire Dubai Destination's progeny do very well on artificial surfaces. 5/2 is fair against a moderate bunch but make sure to get guaranteed.

Two for today.

2.45 Southwell King's Ace 4pts win @ 9.2 (Betfair - Lay to save stake at 6/4 in running)

4.20 Southwell Aaman 5pts win @ 5/2 (Generally, guaranteed) WON 16 lengths!

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