Our 25/1 / 33/1 shot Bansha was hammered into an S.P. of 5/1 yesterday, but ran only a fair race and may have bounced. It's always nice to know you're getting the value. Guto stuck on ok but doesn't look like he is back to his best form as of yet.
Three for today and we're confident of profits.
The opening maiden at Lingfield is interesting. The out of form Barry Hills stable have the favourite, a daughter of Galileo who looks open to improvement but rather plodded on when others had cried enough in an average looking maiden at Doncaster last backend. Christmas Coming might have been an each-way bet at 14/1 or so but to price him up at 7/2 or thereabouts is crazy - Betfred were first up at 8am this morning and I think they're responsible for the strange look on this market. The Johnston horse is, of course, a dangerous newcomer but he was bought cheaply and does not look as well bred as some of his stablemates. The eye catcher who sticks out a mile is the well bred Vulcanite. Some of you might think I'm "out of my vulcan mind" recommending a newcomer, but at 7/1 with Paddy Powers and 6/1 generally, he is around twice the odds I expected him to be. Anything down to around 9/2 represents value on this horse. He represents a stable we have followed in maidens all winter, who have been consistently successful in these races and who have been pretty savvy when the money has been down - although some of their marked drifters have gone in too. As a half brother to the likes of Circassian, 1m2f looks the ideal trip at this time of the year, and with some of the better three year olds starting to appear over the coming weeks, chances are this expensive purchase can go a bit and can shine in this moderate contest. A moderate each-way bet looks the call.
Rapid City looks a solid call in the 1.55 handicap. He made a nice debut for Dave Evans last time out and ran 8lbs above his handicap mark. The handicapper has been kind in raising him only a pound, and returned to a trip over which he is a multiple winner, he can go very close here. 11/4 looks fair.
Bennelong makes his debut for Evans today. The trainer has an excellent record with horses having their first start for him, and the underrated Paul Doe again takes the ride (gets the leg up on Rapid City too). This fella has been running in some much better races but needs luck in running as he likes to be held up. I think stablemate I Confess, under 7lb claimer Kevin Lundie, might set a strong pace here and if Doe can send him on at the right time, Bennelong can pick the leaders up late on down the straight.
Best Recommendation:
1.25 Lingfield Vulcanite, 2pts e/w @ 7/1 (Paddy Power, 6/1 generally)
1.55 Lingfield Rapid City, 5pts win @ 11/4 (Generally)
2.55 Lingfield Bennelong, 4pts win @ 8/1 (Ladbrokes, 15/2 Generally)
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