Friday, February 26, 2010

Wednesday February 17th

Glad we didn't go in large yesterday with no return from 8pts outlayed.

We have one bet for today. Just a word that I've also had a small yankee on all four of Barney Curley's representatives at Lingfield today with Stan James. He is usually up to something when he sends four to the races and I've had that little bet to join in the fun.

In the two mile race at Lingfield, I had looked at a speculative bet on Bold Adventure at around 16/1, but was shocked to see it was priced up at 6/1 with Betfred early this morning and is now as low as 3/1. He did come to hand this time last year but he did not run well last time at all and is not one to trust at such a short price. Valkyrie looks more solid but there is one at a big price who could outrun them both.

The lightly raced Captain Flack represents a stable who are not averse to sending the odd winner out at this time of year. They have taken the trouble to book an in form, in demand jockey in Jim Crowley (1-5 for the stable) and they have a decent level stakes profit at this track. The selection now has an all weather record of 10,1,3 which is better than most of this lot could hope to achieve. He won a little seller over 12f here last summer before running a most interesting race at Wolves a couple of months later over the same trip. Outpaced halfway down the back straight and detatched in rear, he wound up staying on very well to challenge the winner and runner up, finishing a length down in third place. There is a certain amount of stamina in his pedigree, but from what he has showed on the track thus far, he is an out and out stayer and should relish this step up to two miles. Although fitness has to be taken on trust, 16/1 looks a big price in a very poor race.

Best Recommendation:

2.30 Lingfield Captain Flack, 3pts e/w @ 16/1 (Generally)

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