Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Friday February26th

No return yesterday but we didn't go too heavy on any of the bets and we're still nicely up for the week.


Two bets today.


Magic Mille ran really well on her fibresand debut last time out and if she had had the assistance of a stronger jockey, may have overhauled the eventual winner. She looks well handicapped off a mark of 50 and gets the services of a 5lb claimer today who rides this track well and is worth his claim. The market principals looks to have been priced up on stable and stable form rather than what they have achieved on the track, and odds of 7/1 on Magic Millie improving again look too big.


Highland River looks excellent value at 14/1+ in the 1m4f handicap. The selection has been in good form lately and ran a decent race over course and distance last time in a better race than this. He holds Mister Frosty by six lengths on form over 1m4f here two runs ago, so quite why that rival is priced up as half the price Highland River is beggars belief. The small stable do well with their runners at the course and although Highland River will need to improve again to beat Merrion Tiger, his profile this year suggests that he should not be 16/1 to do so.


Best Recommendation:


3.40 Southwell Magic Millie, 4pts win @ 7/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)


5.15 Southwell Highland River, 2pts each-way @ 16/1 (Sporting Bet, 14/1 generally guaranteed)

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