Friday, March 12, 2010

Tuesday March 9th

Good profits yesterday.

Two slightly more speculative bets today.

Apache Moon represents Roger Curtis and I fins him interesting in Southwell's 6f handicap (4.10) at a big price. The selection travelled really well on this surface in a good maiden (for the time of year) back in January, before fading late on. The selection has not been seeing out his races, but he did race over a mile last time which is too far for him. The handicapper has dropped him 5lb after that effort and he now drops in grade running off a mark of 60. Kevin Ghunowa takes the ride and if first time blinkers wake him up a bit, he can win this moderate contest.

Captain Kallis has attracted support this morning and I can see why. He gets a first time eyeshield and blinkers combo today, and for a horse who looks to have possibly shirked the issue once or twice lately, they might bring about the desired result. He has been punted recently once or twice for a yard who have been going well, and he is clearly in good fettle. 7f was too far last time and he is back to Southwell, the scene of his only win, today. He is out of Captain Rio, whose progeny do exceptionally well here. A wide draw looks a positive for me, he didn't seem to enjoy being up against the rail last time and if Stephen Craine can take him wide in the straight, he should see out this race a bit better. 11/1 is still available with Blue Square but anything around 9/1 or over is good value.

Best Recommendation:

4.10 Southwell Apache Moon, 2pts win @ 16/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

5.40 Southwell Captain Kallis, 2pts win @ 11/1 (Blue Square, 9/1 and 10/1 generally available, get guaranteed)

No comments: