Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Flat Season 2010 Preview

Well, it's time to come back down to earth after all the fun of Cheltenham, which for us was profitable thanks in no small part to a large bet on Binocular who won the Champion Hurdle at 9/1, and a decent ante post hit on Alberta's Run at 25/1. We had a big priced winner each day in our main analysis and numerous each-way shots, it maintains our record of finishing every festival since '05 profitable, and I'm happy with that.


As many of you will know, last year was our best flat season ever and it was helped by our excellent record with maximum bets, and a couple of handicap winners at huge prices (Highly Regal winning the London Mile after we'd taken everything over 50/1 on Betfair springs to mind!). However, as the season went on it became apparent that we were doing really well with our two year olds, not only that but it seemed we were beating the S.P. by some way into the bargain. When they didn't win, we were backing an S.P. 7/2 shot at 7/1 and so forth. Some regressive analysis over the winter suggested to me that concentrating more on two year olds and three year olds will be a very profitable ploy for us this year, and that is what we intend to do. I find there is a certain predictability with younger, improving horses that you don't get with older handicappers whose fitness and peak training patterns are harder to grasp. So, our bread and butter once the flat season proper begins, will be the 2yo's and 3yo's.


Having said that, we'll be attacking all the big meetings full on, and will have the usual analysis of each race for Aintree, Punchestown, Royal Ascot, Goodwood, York and all the other big ones. Group 1 races will be looked at in detail as usual, and we'll often bet them. We will also be recommending a bet in many of the big handicaps, an area we traditionally do well.


For any of you who have just joined, feel free to send on any questions or comments as we always welcome them. It can be a bit of a minefield joining a service for the first time and not knowing what to expect, so do clue yourself in by picking our brains.


Here's to another successful summer,


Dan and the team.

No comments: