Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Thursday April 1st

Well, I have to say I'm gutted Tappanappa was a non-runner last night! He was supported very heavily mid afternoon, much in the style that the Balding stable usually lands a touch, and we had a fantastic bet on our hands at 7/1. Manxman won, the form is very poor and as I suggested the Gosden horse was a slowboat. The race was Tappanappa's for the taking, and I wouldn't have been surprised had he won ten lengths against that bunch. Still, onwards and upwards.

Heavy ground at Folkstone today turned my attention to on horse in particular.

3.10 Folkstone Rio Mist, 3pts win @ 10/3 (Bet 365, guaranteed - more offers of 10/3 should be available in due course)

This is the first midweek meeting of the flat turf season and we're not savvy quite yet as to any possible change in draw biases, and the fitness levels of many of the participants. There could also be a few non-runners on the card. What we do know is that Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes are in fine form, and look set for another fantastic season. Hannon is 18% with his three year olds at Folkstone and, being out of Captain Rio, his Rio Mist should cope better than most of these on the testing ground this afternoon. she also showed early speed on both her starts last season which can help at this track.

Rio Mist is a leggy filly and I thought she was bound to make a better three year old. It interests me that she was put away for the rest of last year. She may have had problems, but they could have sent her out for a handicap mark at some stage if she was moderate, and tried to bag a 3yo handicap this season off a lowly rating. Instead she lines up in this maiden and it has to be said it won't take much winning. If she is an OR mid 70's type, she should have no trouble disposing of this lot provided she handles the ground. I'm quite sure Hannon will have her fit and ready to take advantage of the opportunity and she looked a 5/2 shot to me when I priced the race up.

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