A fantastic day yesterday with My Matilda (Form PPP) doing the business at 14/1 and yielding just over 16.5pts profit for our small outlay.
One bet today.
6.30 Kempton Tappanappa 2pts each-way @ 7/1 (Paddy Power - may become available elsewhere, make sure to get guaranteed) - backed into 7/2, late non runner!
Andrew Balding boasts a 16% strike rate at Kempton, a 17% strike rate with 3yo's over 11 furlongs and 12 furlongs, and a 14% strike rate in 3yo maidens. He sends Tappanappa to contest the 11f 3yo maiden tonight at Kempton, and I think he has an excellent chance in a race which is not as strong as it first looks.
Favourite Zigato represents John Gosden, but many of Johns come on for their debut run and I'm not sure why he is starting off such a well bred horse in an average middle distance maiden like this. Could it be that the horse isn't very quick? He also seems a bit cheap at 22,000gns for a horse so well bred. He is a half brother to Sariska, but she hadn't won the oaks when he was purchased; still, a few question marks and short at 2/1.
Manxman looks ordinary, he has been sent to the front in some poor maidens this winter and looks exposed. Dettori is keeping his price down in my view. Heading To First was well beaten by a fair horse last time and was only a head in front of the ordinary Moonbalej. He gave weight away but he doesn't look a world beater.
Looking into Tappanappa's pedigree does give mixed messages as the Racing Post points out but his half brother Baltimore Jack stays 10f no problem and the dam is related to the family of Islington. Sire High Chapparal injects plenty of stamina as a Derby winner and the question of him staying doesn't worry me. He travelled really well on unsuitable ground on his debut, up to the point of the three furlong pole, when he faded and was given an easy time after one crack of the whip. The slight worry is that he looked around himself a bit that day, but it was his debut and it was not a case of him having a markedly high head carriage. That maiden was a very good contest and given his trainers decent record in these events, he looks an excellent each-way bet. The booking of Jimmy Fortune, with William Buick in the next stall riding for John Gosden, looks intruiging and I'm sure Jimmy would love to get one over on young William here - it's his only ride of the day and you have to feel it is significant.
Again, this could be tipped elsewhere so take the early price!
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