Dick Turpin was unfortunate to go down to the French raider in the Guineas yesterday and again we made the right calls without getting rewarded. Rowan Tiger clipped heels in running and lost all chance but Spin Cycle was disappointing.
A bad Saturday all in all. We've two bets for 1,000 Guineas day.
3.20 Newmarket Blue Maiden 1.5pts each-way @ 16/1 (Stan James offer 1/4 odds 4 places special, and price guaranteed)
I can't for the life of me see why Blue Maiden is 20/1 in places, and I'm very happy to take the guaranteed 16/1 Stan James offer with 1/4 odds 4 places and the price guaranteed. Her form against Music Show is among the very best on offer here and I think too much has been made of the fact that Music Show will come on for that run. Added to that I feel the selection's small stable is factored into the price. I've no doubt she will be suited by trip and ground today and she was staying on very well behind Music Show last time out. Jamie Spencer is booked to rise. I don't like the look of Seta or Special Duty who have plenty of question marks about them, Blue Maiden is a lovely looking filly and coming into the race after a recent RPR 110 performance gives er every chance of winning this. She will probably go off 20/1 which will mean we're getting 1/4 odds 4 places at 5/1 on the place part of the bet, which is excellent value.
3.55 Newmarket Imperial Guest 1.5pts each-way @ 25/1 (Stan James, guaranteed)
Loves a strong pace on good or better ground and once it doesn't get boglike out there this fella has every chance. I like his draw as I think there may just be a high draw bias on this ground, and I think there is some decent pace drawn high too. Is in fine fettle having won impressively at Brighton lasttime out and he is highly rated by his trainer, who said after his recent run:
"We got off the mark here last season with Magical Speedfit, another of John Guest's horses, and we've done it again.He needs to come off a fast pace and Peter Island provided just that. We've took our time with him and we might just look at a race like the Wokingham for him."
Imperial Guest has raced in better company in the past and he might just be able to defy a mark of 90 at a huge price today. The excellent Tom Queally takes the ride.
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