Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Tuesday April 13th

Glad we didn't bet yesterday, awful stuff in truth and some odd results.


Today's Pontefract meeting looks half decent, and we have one bet.


2.50 Pontefract Gay Mirage 2pts each-way @ 5/1 (Generally, guaranteed)


Michael Jarvis has an awesome 41% strike rate at Pontefract in the last five seasons, which improves to 8/19 42% with his three year olds. He sends Oaks entry Gay Mirage to contest the 1m2f 3yo maiden today, and she appears to have every chance of winning. The selection made her debut in a Nottingham maiden last November in what was only a fair contest, and she struggled to keep tabs on the leaders, but she did stay on quite eyecatchingly late in the contest over a trip of one mile, which is a little on the sharp side judging by her pedigree. She steps up to ten furlongs today and, if she has progressed over the winter, there is a good chance she will show much improved form. The opposition for the most part look pretty average, but Henry Cecil's Moose Morgan and Gosden's Zuider Zee look well up to winning a maiden, and along with the Mark Johnston newcomer who could be anything. The selection is drawn well to sit prominently in stall one, as many of Jarvis's do, and she gets a handy 5lb fillies allowance into the bargain. Her trainer seems to have found an ideal maiden to start her off here, and with his 3yo's going well already, Gay Mirage can provide him with another success in a race he won in 2006 with Hero Worship. She looks decent each-way value.

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