Thursday, May 20, 2010

Tuesday, May 11th

A fantastic day to remember yesterday. At 13/2 and 4/1, we took a 36.5/1 double off the bookmakers in our multiple bet. I hope I gave everyone fair warning by telling you all on Sunday to check the mail between 10am and 11am Monday morning. I also hope everyone is familiar enough with Betfair to lay off a potentially large winning bet. We went into the 5.30pm race with a 150/1 ish treble going onto a horse that was trading 1/2 on the exchanges. Everyone should have traded their bet to lock in profit, it's not something I advised but general good betting smarts should always apply. If anyone is unsure of how to work that out, drop me a line and I'll work through an example.

Barney Curley was planning yesterday's monster gamble for quite a while. We did not spot the fourth horse, which ran in the 7.30pm at Towcester and was 25/1 in the morning but went off 6/4. I have to say, most people didn't see what was coming at all so I'm chuffed we got the best prices on our accumulator and were part of something that will pretty much go down in racing history. I don't know another service who will be able to say that today.

On to today.

2.20 Yarmouth Djalalabad 1.5pts each-way @ 20/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

As we noted last time, this mare has shown much more enthusiasm since switching to Jeff Pearce and today's flat track will probably suit her better than Brighton did last time out, when she ran pretty well. Favourite Fuzzy Cat looks short enough for a trainer who is 1-17 at the track in the past five years. Djalalabad should get a nice tow into the race from the likes of Come On Buckers and she may just cause a big upset.

4.50 Yarmouth Capable Guest 4pts win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) WON

An absolutely huge price. I'd be having seven or eight points win if it wasn't for the fact that this horse has basically seemed regressive in the past year or two. Capable Guest done us a big favour in the early days of our service, with a 25/1 win at Lingfield on his seasonal reappearance. The one thing that has remained constant throughout his career is that he always goes well on that first run of the year. He has posted ratings of 82,101,97,94,97,91 with three wins on seasonal debut, and today races off a mark of 64! Every year, Channon seems to run him into the ground late season, and his form ends up pretty poor. That really does not worry me today. If he has any of the old ability left he should beat these lesser animals, and to be honest I think this is a fabulous piece of placement by Mick Channon. Alan Munro, who has been riding winners for Channon and has a 12/97 12% strike rate at this track returning a +19.83 level stakes profit, takes the ride.

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