A fabulous day yesterday with Sacrosanctus winning handily and I hope you all got the early 12/1 - it was available pretty much until the on course markets opened. I did say that 2yo's and 3yo's would be the making of our year, and this was one of the first opportunities to bet in the kind of 2yo race I like, where most of the field have experience. We'll get a lot more of this kind of thing from July onward, and believe me it'll be time to get the proper betting boots on then. The last week has been a reminder of how quickly a losing run of even two weeks can be wiped out with our simple value betting approach - we made over 43pts profit yesterday alone.
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One interest for today, and it's a much bigger price than I had forecast.
2.00 Nottingham Ranbow Six 2pts each-way @ 20/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) Each-way 2nd
Represents Marco Botti, who has an excellent 5/30 17% strike rate at Nottingham in recent years returning a level stakes profit of +11.40. The selection has been noted last twice pulling hard and failing to get home over trips of one mile both at this course and at Kempton. He looks a nicely put together, strong gelding who appears to have plenty of speed, and my thinking is that he has inherited all his mother's speed and none of his dad's stamina. His dam Birthday Suit was a speedball who didn't get much beyond the minimum five furlongs, but she did not lack for ability, winning her first two contests over five furlongs and ending up rated 102 before being sent to the paddocks. The manner of Birthday Suit's last two defeats really does suggest he is worth a try over sprint distances and he seems to have the physicality of a sprinter to boot. The handicapper has dropped him to a leniant looking mark of 65 for one of his breeding, and in a fairly modest contest he is worthy of an each-way interest at a rewarding price. Interesting we're drawn in the middle where most of the action has taken place in recent 6f sprints at this course, many of the market principals are drawn low today.
1 comment:
how much proft this year then
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