Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Wednesday April 28th

Big Sur flattered to deceive again yesterday. There is a race in him but I'm not sure if yesterday was the day, and I probably won't follow him.

Two for today.

4.30 Ascot Society Rock 5pts win @ 4/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) WON

Looked a very progressive horse last year and ran really well from the wrong side of the course in a very good sales race last time he was seen. That was also over seven furlongs, a trip his trainer James Fanshawe always doubted he would get after his debut run, due mostly to the speed in the breeding on the dam's side. He is unbeaten over six furlongs and I must say I really like James Fanshawe's training of sprinters - he has had some very good ones down the years and he knows how to get them ready. He also targets this meeting and the booking of up and coming Pat Cosgrave is a big positive in my book. 4/1 looks too big.

5.40 Ascot Satwa Laird 2pts win @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

A race choc full of all weather horses ready to try their hand on the turf, but Satwa Laird is the exact opposite. He is fit from a recent spin on the all weather and to my mind looks well treated off 85 on his 2/17 over course and distance last season. Ashley Hamblett takes 3lbs off and is good value for it. Also, Ed Dunlop's stable have been in blinding form just lately, far better than last year, and I think the selection would be 9/2 if Kieren Fallon was booked. Fallon rides for Brendan Powell here but I think there is decent value to be had at 10/1 on Dunlop's horse. Might drift on course so make absolutely sure, as always, to get a guaranteed price.

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