Friday, July 30, 2010

Friday 21st May

Another really good day yesterday with Sea Of Heartbreak winning, we had 4/1 minus a 10c rule 4 off the top of my head. Leader Of The Land got beaten by a short head, and Desert Icon showed some promise. Around 17pts profit on the day.

Three races of interest today.

3.00 Yarmouth Big Sur 4pts win @ 8/1 (Generally, guaranteed)

Represents a trainer with an awful 0/33 record a this track in the last five seasons. Much has been made about Big Sur's breeding (related to Seta) and he has showed on more than one occasion hints of ability that suggest he is a good bit better than a 59 rated handicapper. However, he has yet to truly convince on the track and is priced up on ability rather than achievement to some extent. I'm keeping the faith, though. I think a galloping mile like Yarmouths is probably a step in the right direction for this horse. He has a fine big stride and has tended to pull hard in his races, last time over ten furlongs included. If he has come on fitness wise for that run, and enjoys today's race conditions more than Lingfields tight turns, I believe he can prove himself a very well handicapped horse. There are some fairly poor performers in here and he should go very close this time. His stable have had a couple of horses outperform their odds in the last few days, they look to be running into some form and 8/1 might look bit post race today. A word on Djalalabad, I remain convinced she will pick up a race for Jeff Pearce but I'm not sure she let herself down on the ground last time (good to firm like today) and I think a mile stretches her.

4.00 Yarmouth Angelo Poliziano 2pts win @ 12/1, Rough Rock 2pts win @ 9/1 (Both generally, guaranteed)

Huge prices for this pair. Angelo Poliziano is a real interesting one, as a horse who acts around Catterick and probably could have contested a six furlong contest there today. Instead Ann Duffield sends him to Yarmouth for this five furlong contest, and has booked the excellent Pat Cosgrave to ride. The selection made up loads of ground last time out in a contest where a progressive front runner landed the spoils. He suffered a wide trip too and I was surprised he ran so well on his seasonal debut. The stable have been out of form but expect a batch of winners any day soon, the signs are that Ann's string are getting there and May and June last year was a golden period for her stable.

Rough Rock has won two of his last three and strikes me as a horse who is still well ahead of the handicapper. He travels supremely well in his races and I'm taken aback by the spotlight comments that suggest the drop back might be a negative - this horse has bundles of pace. Michael Murphy gets on well with him and has looked well worth his seven pound claim in recent races.

6.30 Haydock Parc Des Princes 3pts win @ 9/1 (Stan James, guaranteed)

Bombed out last time at Windsor in a better race than this, but deserves a second chance in my opinion. He travelled quite well before hanging and fading out of contention, but he may simply have needed the race. The Balding stable continue in excellent form and seem to have targeted these races with a couple of different 7lb apprentices so far this year. I seen this lad Francis Hayes ride a 100/1 shot at Lingers the other day and he looks quite polished, if a little brave! This race looks poor and to be honest I think with the favourite Ghufa looks beatable. Parc Des Princes is the unexposed one in here for my mind and 8/1 is too big.

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