Friday, July 30, 2010

Thursday 27th May

Still yet to find a winner this week, but our staking has been excellent if you review it, we lost only 4pts yesterday and one or two winners will pretty much change the complexion of the week.

We called Shaluca really well and she ran nicely in second, briefly challenging but the fav was too good. We called the 8.00 race really well but it was the 25/1 outsider who surprised the top two and not Living It Large.

2.00 Wolves Sooraah 3pts each-way @ 8/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed)

Was noted travelling extremely well throughout a fair Newbury maiden on debut, last of the bridle having expended plenty of energy tacking across from a wide draw, and given no cover during the race. She also changed her legs when asked for maximum effort, and it was this greenness and possibly dislike for the fastish ground that cost her momentum and she was allowed to come home in her own time. Being out of Dubawi, she should appreciate this artificial surface and should put in a much improved performance today. The favourite is underpriced because of the race she ran in - she was off the bridle early, however, and showed only a fair amount of promise. I think Sooraah could be the best horse in this race, she is drawn well and represents a stable beginning to find their best form. Confident each-way choice, the only downside is I'm wondering why she has been off the track for over a month after her debut - but she gets the benefit of the doubt this time.

5.30 Wolves Dauntsey Park 2pts each-way @ 20/1 (Generally, guaranteed)E/W 2nd
Have a look at the draw and pace bias for this horse's penultimate run at Lingfield, when he was beaten by Lisahane Bog. The selection defied the widest draw on a day when strong gales played havoc with the horses and helped create a marked low draw bias, there was also a strong pace bias and front runners were mopping up - he came from rear to finish sixth. The first six were well clear, the front pair have developed into decent handicappers and all of the first five have won since. Dauntsey Park reappeared at Windsor earlier this month and travelled ominously well before fading. Whether it was the firm ground or lack of fitness I don't know, but he was allowed to come home under hands and heels. It's well known that Tor Sturgis has a decent all weather gallop, she has excellent strike rates at all the Polytrack courses (18% here) and the selection may improve for the return to it today. Ross Atkinson takes 5lb off what may already be a lenient mark and this looks a very, very eye catching 20/1 shot.

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