One bet for this afternoon and an evening bet to follow before 5.00pm.
4.40 Wolverhampton Mataaleb 5pts win @ 9/2 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON
There's a chance that a lack of pace in this contest and a lack of tactical nous on Simon Pearce's behalf might scupper this bet, but if the jockey gets it right and they don't crawl, Mataaleb looks extremely tempting from a handicapping point of view here. Formerly with the late Michael Jarvis, he is now trained by Lydia Pearce. Jeff and Lydia have done well down the years with stayers, fillies like Dayia and Ellina come to mind, both of whom won at Wolverhampton backed by us. Mataaleb is a five year old whole horse, and he steps up to an extended 1m5f for the first time tonight. He is bred to stay, being out of Dalakhani by a Green Desert mare who has produced winners up to 1m5f. He seems to do well on the all weather, and the form of his penultimate run is working out really well. The first three home look pattern class and it says a lot for Mataaleb that he managed to come from so far back to get fourth. The pace wasn't manic either, so he wasn't simply passing beaten horses. He has since run respectably at Newmarket over ten furlongs, and been dropped to OR78 by the handicapper which looks lenient. With Pearce taking a further 3lb off, he is of clear interest and if he gets a decent bit of luck in running and a well judged ride, I think he'll win.
Profit & loss: day: +23.50 / month: +30.81 / year: -260.26
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