Monday, July 9, 2012

Friday 6th July 2012

A busy day for us today.

2.20 Sandown 

Ganas 2pts win @ 9/1 (Generally, get guaranteed where possible)
Rafaaf 2pts win @ 9/1 (Generally, get guaranteed where possible)

A really competitive sprint. Ganas is another from the Cox yard, who had a double yesterday, who is entered in the Stewards Cup and there is an added bonus in that William Buick replaces Adam Kirby today (check the ride on Seeking Magic, didn't do his homework on the fact that Mac Gille Eoin routinely hangs left!). Ganas has a similar profile to Seeking Magic, looking unexposed and coming here off the back of a Windsor run that suggested he is coming right back into form.

Rafaaf won over course and distance on his only visit here and his run last time was really positive, he ended up finishing only fourth but was in front far too soon and I immediately marked him down as a horse who would improve for the step back to five furlongs. He could yet have a big year and if the gaps come his way he can win this despite a wide draw.

2.30 Doncaster King Pin 3pts win @ 11/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

A son of Pivotal who is suited by bog like ground. He has a bit to do on ratings here but the way he saw it out last time at Redcar against a better treated rival marked him down as a horse to follow in these conditions. I can see no reason why he is as big as 11/1+, and I think he represents an excellent value bet to smallish stakes.

2.50 Sandown Botanic Garden 3pts win @ 10/1 (Boylesports, guaranteed, 9/1 generally guaranteed)

Has it to find on the book with the fav but is better drawn and is a faster horse. This race tends to throw up "shocks" with Royal Ascot horses sometimes getting beaten by speedier types who get the run of the race, and if Botanic Garden breaks well, he has the necessary gears to defeat Morawij. It will be imperative that he keeps the rail, any late rain will do his chances no harm.


Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: -23.20 / year: -244.68

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