One for this afternoon.
4.30 Hamilton Skiddaw View 1pt each-way @ 66/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
You won't often find me starting a write up with a warning, but this one is strictly, strictly for minimum each-way stakes as the advice suggests! Chances are Skiddaw View will trail in a remote last, but there are reasons to believe she might be overpriced in this field. She is a four year old filly bred to sprint, but seems to have had physical problems aplenty and missed the entire of 2011 as a result. Her efforts this year have not been entirely without hope, though, and she showed enough pace to lead a field of 0-50 rated sprinters at Wolverhampton earlier this year before fading. It has to be of interest that even this small yard keep her in training off a mark of just OR39, and the fact that she has another entry at Ayr in a couple of days time suggests there might be more than just blind faith at work here. The trainer Maurice Barnes does get the odd winner, and a first time tongue tie would suggest previous breathing problems and a likelihood that they have done plenty of physical work on the horse in order to help her overcome her problems. I do recall the Featherstones having a 66/1 success with a horse named Commander Wish in 2007 which had a very similar profile (those of you with ridiculous memories will note we tipped a horse called Dodaa in the same race!) and it is a situation I've seen repeated a couple of times since. This is a very poor bunch of sprinters, and if the selection is ready to put her best foot forward, she could cause a massive shock. It is more likely she will not, but at the prices, in such a poor race, it is worth taking the chance to very small stakes.
Profit & loss: day: -2.00 / month: +98.92 / year: -122.96
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