One for this evening.
7.10 Epsom Seeking Magic 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 9/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Is being prepped for the Stewards Cup and from two efforts this season has finished second twice, laterly in a decent handicap at Haydock. This horse travels very powerfully and likes to sit in just behind the leaders, so I would strongly fancy him to act well on Epsom's downhill incline. Goodwood will be much the same. His trainer Clive Cox has always rated the horse highly, and it is interesting that the stable were so badly out of form when this horse managed those decent runs earlier this year. Things have picked up just lately and the good horses are running well, this is one who I think is well ahead of his current mark. He is drawn well and given that he has never been out of the first three, an each-way bet looks the obvious call.
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Two races of interest this afternoon, and a possible evening bet.
Evening bets if any will be released at 5.30pm sharp, an e-mail will be sent either way.
2.10 Yarmouth Meet Me Halfway 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 33/1 (Generally, get guaranteed where possible)
Represents a trainer whose horses, including his occasional two year olds (3/22 14% last five years) , tend to run very well at Yarmouth. The selection is completely overpriced against those around her in the market. Whitford, Likelikelikelikeit and Vinifera don't make any appeal on their debut efforts and / or stable form, but I had the selection down as a 14/1 shot and 33/1 is a nice surprise. She showed good signs of ability on debut in a fillies maiden that has thrown up pattern class horses, and she had no trouble travelling with them before fading around a furlong out and staying on again towards the finish. She steps up to six furlongs today which is perfect on her running style and breeding, and I would expect improvement from that debut effort. I think the form of some of the principals is very questionable, Ajmany looks underpriced for starters, the Ascot race he ran in (Windsor Castle) doesn't always work out well and he only stayed on very one paced anyway. Much rather take the filly here with the dead eight and an incorrect price.
3.50 Haydock
Defence Council 3pts win @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Rio Cobolo 2pts win @ 22/1 (VC Bet, guaranteed, 20/1 generally guaranteed)
Both these horses have solid Haydock form to their names. Defence Council ran an absolute blinder in pulling clear with Johannes, who is very well handicapped, at the weekend and this doesn't look quite as strong a race for him. He looks very well handicapped based on that run and his trainer won this race in 2009 with Sea Rover. He seemed to struggle as a three year old as many British sprinters do, and we might just get to see the best of him this year.
A lot of water has passed under the bridge since a red hot Dandy Nicholls sent most of us on holidays with Joseph Henry (33/1) and Evens And Odds (25/1) in 2010 when we supported them for the Stewards Cup consolation race and the Stewards Cup itself on consecutive days. Dandy's stable have been quieter than usual an a poor 2011 never really got off the ground. This year has been equally bad, but there have been signs of a revival just lately and he has an impressive sprint winner at Pontefract the other day. I checked through the Stewards Cup entries last night ans this fella is in, Dandy targets the meeting and it is generally around now his horses come into form and this year more than others the ratings suggest a good few of his horses will need to pick up penalties to get involved. Rio Cobolo languishes on OR68, but there have been signs lately that he is running into form. He ran all the way to the line at Hamilton last time having been stranded with very little in the way of cover, and a stronger pace and a good draw to get cover in stall ten are both likely to be in his favour today. He arguably runs his best races at Haydock, and he is dangerously well handicapped - 20/1+ is too big.
Profit & loss: day: -13.00 / month: -13.20 / year: -234.68
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