One bet for this evening.
6.20 Kempton Volcanic Jack 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 7/1 (Bet 365, guaranteed, 13/2 generally guaranteed)
Volcanic Jack is moderate at best but his handicap mark reflects that and he is now with a trainer who excels at getting the best out of an animal with this profile in Tony Carroll. He has an 11% strike rate with his older horses at Kempton, and he tends to target these apprentice events when he has a horse on the right handicap mark for them. The selection is now a four year old, but he has recently come into something like decent form and his recent second over seven furlongs at Lingfield was very much a step forward. The selection was ridden along early and stayed on very well, indeed almost on the bridle at the finish, eventually beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Clear Spring, who had the advantage of the rail and has franked the form since with a win at Brighton. Connections have tried various trips with him but his best run as a two year old in Ireland came over a mile at Dundalk and he reverts to a mile on polytrack tonight. Some of the opposition are quite badly out of form at the moment, and for that reason I'm happy to play each-way despite relatively skinny odds for such a bet - I think he the odds underestimate his chance of winning and with 1/4 odds paid each-way we can take a small profit provided he finishes in the three.
Profit & loss: day: -5.00 / month: +68.99 / year: -221.98
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