2.05 Goodwood - Stewards Sprint Stakes - Piazza San Pietro 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 50/1 (Bet 365, VC Bet, Stan James,www.betpack.com, independents - all 1/4 odds 5 places)
Horses who win this race need to be well versed in the art of racing downhill, and with a lifetime record racing on downhill tracks of 221837013221141853 the selection has to enter calculations at a massive price. There doesn't seem to be a major draw bias at Goodwood this week, but stall 28/28 could be tricky to negotiate. However, the selection has a history of hanging left under pressure and being close to the left hand rail might help him in the closing stages. In 41 turf starts, the selection has won ten times and finished in the first three a total of 24 times which says a lot for his consistency. He made his debut for this stable over course and distance in May, fast finishing a half length behind Chilli Green who reopposes today. The selection is 3lb better off with that rival and around twice the price. A stronger pace will suit our horse and with many of the market principals having questions to answer regarding their ability to handle the track and / or recent form, we'll back the horse who is proven in the conditions at a massive price.
3.55 Goodwood - Stewards Cup
Seal Rock 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Bet 365, Boylesports, VC Bet, Independents - 1/4 odds 5 places guaranteed- 25/1 1/4 odds 5 places generally)
Oasis Dancer 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 40/1 (Bet 365, Boylesports, VC Bet, Independents - 1/4 odds 5 places guaranteed - 40/1 1/4 odds 5 places generally)
A fantastic renewal. Seal Rock has the assistance of a pilot who shone on Orders From Rome at Epsom the other night, getting her fractions just right when Jamie Spencer made a hash of his on Desert Philosopher up front. She claims a very useful five pounds for her trainer, who has already had a winner at Goodwood this week. The selection has always looked a very classy sprinter, and his performance over course and distance last October a short head behind Gentle Lord marked him down as a horse to follow at this track. He has grown into his frame as a four year old, and a win at Pontefract has been followed by a couple of fair runs on soft and heavy ground which I don't think suits him. This is likely to have been his target all season and he looks well drawn in the middle and well handicapped.
Oasis Dancer has had back problems which have marred his career to date, but his shrewd handler has campaigned him on the all weather to good effect resulting in a 5lb lower turf mark which sees him potentially well handicapped here. He is a class act on his day, and his best efforts have come on good or better ground. He ran second over seven furlongs here in a maiden behind Workforce, and seemed to handle the track fine. There are obvious caveats, such as his poor recent turf form, but they can be excused quite easily on the basis of the ground, and like our other selection Seal Rock, he is a perfect trends pick for this race as a four or five year old rated 95+ with a recent run under his belt. 40/1 was far too big and is long gone now.
5.15 Newmarket My Son Max 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 20/1 (Paddy Power, William Hill, Stan James, www.betpack.com, independents) - E/W 3rd
Represents a shrewd Newmarket handler who does well with his small string and has a good record at this track. My Son Max has hinted for a while that a drop to sprinting on good ground could be a good idea, and up against quite a few exposed or out of form sprinters today he is given a chance at a big price under Jamie Spencer, who looks an eye catching booking. Spencer obviously excels on hold up horses, and the selection will have to be allowed find his way into this race gradually given the drop in trip. He will likely be held up in rear and allowed to get into a rhythm, something Spencer does excel at, and it is really a matter of whether the race develops around him well enough to get him involved with his finishing kick. The horse looks potentially unexposed at this trip and has been running really well over further against some good, progressive horses. If the change in conditions ekes out some improvement, he can win this and 20/1 is far too big.
Profit & loss: day: -6.00 / month: +17.00 / year: -114.46
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