6.45 Doncaster Dubai Celebration 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Minimum stakes but at 25/1 in a messy looking race the selection looks a bit of value. He is related to numerous fast ground horses and should enjoy tonight's surface at Doncaster. He has run here twice before and has posted a topspeed figure here that compares very favourably with the rest of his rivals here - second only to the favourite Tabaret. He didn't show much at Carlisle last time out but the stables horses are coming into a bit of form and he should get a tow into the race from tabaret and Chocamoca who are drawn either side of him. We will play each-way and win to the minimum.
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Two for this afternoon and a possible evening bet, details on that at 5.30pm.
2.40 Bath Imperial Spirit 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Boylesports, betrogers.com, guaranteed, Stan James, Skybet, www.betpack.com, Tom Floods (Ireland), other independents)
Drawn out in the car park in stall 15 but at Bath that is sometimes no bad thing as the leaders often go too quick and get collared late on. Imperial Spirit is from a family who appreciate fast ground and he is very much bred to sprint. He showed good speed in a half decent maiden on his soft ground debut at Newbury, fading having gone fairly easily with the pace for most of the journey. Mick Channon's two year olds generally go well at this track and a chance is taken at a huge price that his second string can spring a surprise here. Has been quietly supported this morning.
3.15 Bath New Forest 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 12/1 (Stan James, www.betpack.com, 10/1 generally guaranteed)
Andrew Balding has won this twice in the last ten years and been responsible for the runner up once. Three fillies have won in that time frame, including Lady Le Quesne of Baldings. It seems reasonable to assume the selection has been targeted at this contest and the speed she showed on debut would back that up. She travelled extremely well on the speed in a very hot Newmarket maiden before fading late on on ground which would have been too soft for her, over six furlongs. she looks too big a price here, I have no doubt she has the speed for this test, greenness in the finish might ultimately cost her but with the dead eight running she is good each-way value and a bit overpriced.
Profit & loss: day: -11.00 / month: +118.02 / year: -103.46
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