Sunday, August 19, 2012

Wednesday 15th August 2012

5.45 Southwell Bapak Bangsawan 3pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 15/2 (Stan James, www.betpack.com, 7/1 generally guaranteed) - E/W 2nd

Represents a trainer with a good record at this track, and a sire who does quite well here too. The selection showed glimmers of ability on all three starts, but the manner in which he went clear of the field early on last time out at Newcastle before fading late on suggested he would be well suited by a straight five furlongs at this stage in his career. His action looked like that of a horse who would go well on this surface and the late afternoon money is interesting, because it is consistent with money for other unexposed horses from this stable who generally acquit themselves well here when fancied to do so. This looks a winnable maiden and there are reasons to oppose some of the others near the head of the market. I actually think this is a really decent bet and he is overpriced at the odds. We'll have a decent each-way punt.


Profit & loss: day: -0.50 / month: +20.00 / year: -111.46

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