There is a small chance of an evening bet, details at 5.30pm.
2.00 York - Symphony Group Handicap
Kaldoun Kingdom 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Silvanus 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
A really strong sprint handicap. The first thing that you notice on looking through this race is the amount of pace drawn middle to high. Captain Dunne is in stall 8, Burning Thread in 10 can go forward, as can Tax Free in 11, but Fratellino, Le Toreador, Fitz Flyer and Silvanus in 13,14,15,16 looks a real pace burn up area. Kaldoun Kingdom represents a stable banging in winners in sprint handicaps, he shaped well last time, and although the trip is a shade sharp for him the strong pace could bring him right into this and no better man to have on your side at York than Paul Hanagan.
It doesn't always follow that a hold up / mid division sort wins off a strong pace, and of those that lead Silvanus is the one I like, His trainer has a history of improving older sprint handicappers and form figures of 21211 on flat tracks before as disappointment at Goodwood last time tell their own story. If he turns up ready today, his odds look too big for a horse who has done more winning this year than most of these.
3.05 York - Great Voltigeur Stakes
Thought Worthy 4pts win @ 9/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - WON
A decent break before this race is a positive in my view, I don't like backing three year olds over middle and longer distances in top class races who have been battling it out on a regular basis. John Gosden seems to know that and his record in the St. Leger and indeed this contest speaks for itself. Thought Worthy has been off 61 days and should be ready to go today. He is the only pace in the race that I can see, and William Buick is developing into an awesome jockey. He should not be outsider of the field and I think he may be backed on course. 9/1 guaranteed is very fair.
Profit & loss: day: +30.00 / month: +75.00 / year: -56.46
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