Friday, September 21, 2012

Friday 21st September 2012

8.30 Wolverhampton Strawberry Flavour 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 28/1 (Sporting Bet, 25/1 Generally - guaranteed in places)

Strawberry Colour is selected at a price after a promising debut. She had to be hard ridden to take a prominent position, but once there she travelled very well and stayed there until the home straight. This race doesn't look impossible, 25/1 is too big and it seems she has been priced up based on unfashionable connections rather than breeding or racetrack promise. She is related to numerous course winners and should go better than her inflated odds suggest.

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One selections for this afternoon, and a possible evening bet to be released at 5.00pm.


4.00 Ayr Jamaican Bolt 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (VC Bet, guaranteed, 14/1 generally guaranteed)  - WON

Plenty of pace drawn low, and with Even Stevens and to a greater extent Come On Dave both drawn either side of him, Jamaican Bolt is well drawn to take a prominent sit and kick on in the final furlong. His jockey Robert Winston has a 14% strike rate at this track and rides it well, and I would actually hopeful there is a split here because the far side will probably go faster if they do. Four places are paid each-way and it is no surprise the selection is now drawing support. There are obvious reasons to be cautious, with the draw likely to be a big factor, but more often than not pace is the key to these sprints and if it holds true the selection should be in the right place. Top weight is no problem, he carried 9-9 to victory on soft ground at Haydock and a similar display against lower weighted inferior opponents should see him go close.


Profit & loss: day: +44.00 / month: +4.65 / year: -99.61

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