8.20 Wolverhampton Fantasy Fighter 3pts each-way AND 2pts win @ 12/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
A really interesting proposition off a basement mark of just OR53 with Adam Beschizza, who has won on him before, taking a further 3lb off his back. The selection rather lost his way for John Quinn, and slid down the handicap having transferred to John Long last summer. The Long stable have a history of sweetening up soured older horses, and they gave Fantasy Fighter fully six months off this year before his recent comeback at Yarmouth. He ran really well at Yarmouth, albeit in a very poor race, but he has never been any good on turf and that was one of his best performances on the ratings on turf. What interests me here is that he usually shows his well being on turf before going on to run well on the all weather - a decent run at Yarmouth in August 2010 was followed by placings of 3211 on the all weather, and as recently as last year a return to some sort of form at Yarmouth saw him follow up with an RPR of 64 off an OR64 at Lingfield (all weather) next time out. The difference today is that his all weather rating has now slipped right down in conjunction with his turf mark, and there is little doubt he is better than OR53 on this surface. He clearly didn't let himself down on the firm ground at Yarmouth last time, and back on his favourite polytrack over his favourite course and distance, he looks sure to go well if the trainer has sweetened him up. This is a decent race for the grade, but some of the principals are unproven on the surface and if the selection returns to something even resembling his best form, he should go close. A strong pace set by Almaty Express and Aubrietia will be ideal for him, and a draw in stall six is fine. I have no problem laying out eight points here.
Profit & loss: day: -8.00 / month: +32.05 / year: -102.01
No comments:
Post a Comment