Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Friday 7th September 2012

1pt each-way double on today's selections - use Bet 365, Ladbrokes, Powers, William Hill, VC BEt - guaranteed prices in multiples. - E/W double: 2nd @ 10/1 & 3rd @10/1


3.35 Haydock Pea Shooter 4pts win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

The pace seems to be holding up at Haydock, and a chance is given to Pea Shooter, for Kevin Ryan, who had a 50/1 winner here yesterday. The selection has some very strong form to his name, but things haven't gone his way this year. Good performances at York and Newmarket have been mixed in with poorer efforts, but this three year old put in his best ever performance in this month last year, and with the stable in form he should be ready to produce his best today. Six furlongs looks his trip, the five at York was too sharp for him and he was never really in his comfort zone. He likes to race prominently and indeed traded odds on over course and distance in July, when he bagged the near rail. He is well drawn to do so again, but the ground is much more to his liking here (good to firm) and with the pace holding up, this race looks made for him. He tends to hang right under pressure so the rail may help. He has been backed in from 12/1 early doors which I did not envisage, but we can still get 8/1 which is fair.

4.10 Haydock Hopes N Dreams 3pts win @ 10/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Another from the Ryan stable, again ridden by Amy Ryan. I usually wouldn't back a filly against colts over sprint distances, but Hopes N Dreams has already beaten the boys and she looks extremely progressive this season. Conditions have not been in her favour on her last two runs, soft ground at the Curragh and Epsom where she almost unseated. Previous to that, she destroyed Barkston Ash, who reopposes off 5lb worse, by fully 3 1/2 lengths over this trip. She needs fast ground, but three wins this season already suggests she is highly progressive and I fancy her to add a fourth today.


Profit & loss: day: +3.25 / month: -19.75 / year: -124.76

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