We may have an evening bet, to follow at 5.15pm.
2.20 Yarmouth Dumbarton Rock 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 40/1 (William Hill, guaranteed, 33/1 generally guaranteed)
Has been written off in the markets but ran really well at Southwell on his second career start. Was still a bit green and slow into stride, but he soon travelled quite well in the rear, although getting buckets of fibresand kicked into his face and having to race on what is the unfavoured inside rail at Southwell. He stayed on really well, however, and ran on to get place money again on an unfavourable part of the track in the closing stages. If he can come on for that run again, he might be good enough to run a place at least today in a maiden that probably won't take much winning unless one of the newcomers is very good. Franny Norton is having probably his best year ever and he takes the ride.
3.50 Yarmouth French Press 3pts each-way @ 11/2 (Generally, get guaranteed where possible)
Has been quietly backed by shrewd connections. Many of the horses in this nursery have showed temperament issues this season - Darkening, Black Monk, and Exotic Guest have all had problems learning to settle, while Al Mukhdam no longer holds his Champagne Stakes entry and I'm left wondering why his trainer targets this average looking nursery. French Press ran well in a decent Lingfield contest last time out, and he looks a specialist at this trip and probably open to further improvement. It is interesting that his owner most likely has a line on the favourite through Secretinthepark, who beat Darneking last time out, and the quiet money looks quite significant to me. I think he is a solid, improving two year old, and should be backed at 11/2.
Profit & loss: day: -9.00 / month: -39.35 / year: -143.61
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