Wednesday 12th September 2012

Delighted we left Doncaster alone today, but we sure won't be leaving it alone tomorrow. I was right about particular track biases and the added rain only serves to complicate. I'd like to see a bit more rain for our max bet on Saturday but I don't think it is essential. 

We have one bet for Kempton.

6.15 Porcini 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (Generally, get guaranteed) - E/W 3rd

Attracted some suport this morning (16's from 25's) and it is easy to see why. Her polytrack form at shorter distances would suggest she is unexposed over tonight's mile and a laf trip, and being out of Azamour by a Hernando mare she is perfectly suited to the distance. Her last run at Newmarket in a stronger race looks very decent in retrospect, especially considering she didn't seem to handle the good to firm ground, hanging in the closing stages. Check out her Wolverhampton form from the spring - the race worked out very well and most of them are rated at least in the seventies now. She has been dropped 3lb for that good Newmarket run which surprises me, in addition a very capable 3lb claimer who rides this track well has been booked. Off such a low mark, she looks excellent value here and I expect further support.

Profit & loss: day: +4.00 / month: -27.75 / year: -131.01