Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Friday 12th October 2012

Two for Friday, no evening bets:

2.00 York Bond Club 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 14/1 (VC Bet, guaranteed, 12/1 generally guaranteed)

Bond Club represents an in form trainer who does well with sprinters on soft ground (trains Jamaican Bolt, also had the winner of the race Breezolini finished second in yesterday at Ayr). Most winners of this contest have at least three runs behind them and the selection opened his account on his fourth start at Haydock last time out. The ground was heavy that day and he showed a really good attitude to win, running straight and true to the line. The horse he beat has since won at Ayr, while the third looks reasonably promising, and I think his achievement in winning may have been underestimated given the allotted handicap mark of OR72. A good lightweight jockey has been booked in James Sullivan, and he seems to be drawn around the pace. The 34mm of rain that fell at York overnight will do his chances no harm, he should handle the conditions better than most and he looks decent value at 12/1+.

3.40 York Accelerant 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Accelerant was sent off just 7/2 on his debut at Beverley last time, but was not really given a hard time once he met traffic problems and his chance of winning had gone. He travelled well for quite a way but didn't seem to be in love with the track. The open spaces of York might just suit him better and it is interesting he is by a Pivotal mare. Her one progeny has shown his best form on soft ground and I would suspect Accelerant will be suited by today's ground at York given the action he displays. The stable's juveniles have tended to come on plenty for their first run this year and, with this looking only an average maiden, he rates the value at the prices.


Profit & loss: day: -9.00 / month: -47.80 / year: -94.41

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