Monday, October 22, 2012

Saturday 20th October 2012

Two for this afternoon, and a possible evening bet, details before 5.00pm. An absolutely cracking day's racing and I hope the brilliant Frankel can go out on a high by winning the Champion Stakes impressively.

1.45 Ascot Aiken 5pts win @ 13/2 (Boylesports, Stan James, www.betpack.com, guaranteed, 6/1 generally, get guaranteed)

A real Ascot horse who goes well on this ground, and seems to have been prepared specifically for this race by his trainer, who has had a fantastic season. The selection has gradually been stepping up in trip, and with the likelihood of a slow pace today he would appear to be the horse with the best turn of foot if the race is run at a moderate tempo. I don't think there are any superstars in here, everything looks beatable, and I think the horses involved in the finish of the Ascot Gold Cup had a very hard race which may have left its mark. 6/1+ was always too big and Aiken has been well supported all morning, justifying yesterday's price alert.

2.20 Ascot Restidargent 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 8/1 (Paddy Power, 4places guaranteed, or take 9/1 generally guaranteed)

A pretty simple pick, third in a strong renewal of the Golden Jubilee, and a horse who acts really well on slow ground. 8/1+ looks very fair and I am not so sure Society Rock will reverse the placings despite his slow start in June. I think he might want the ground quicker, and I can't have Wizz Kid as I'm a great believer in Ascot horses for the Ascot course and I don't think he is as effective here as elsewhere. Paddy Power offer 4 places each-way on this race and I think it's an excellent offer, well worth taking their 8/1.


Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: -15.80 / year: -62.41

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