One bet for Sunday, a maximum bet in the Prix de L'Arc De Triomphe.
Can't remotely have Camelot here with soft ground and an extremely gruelling St Ledger run only a few weeks previous most likely having left its mark on him. This race tends to be dictated by the draw and it is pretty much a case of the lower the better. Great Heavens is drawn in stall seven which is fine, and the peerless William Buick will ride her - he gets things spot on tactically more often than not and I hope he can get a good early position here. The filly has improved consistently as the year has gone on, and she gets ideal conditions in the Arc with the ground now described as heavy. Her collateral form doesn't stack up incredibly well, but she could only beat what was put in front of her and the manner of victory has been impressive all year. The most interesting thing of all is that shrewd connections have supplemented her for the race at a cost of €100,000. Clearly John Gosden has a good line on this Arc form through Danedream, (even though that horse no longer runs) who short headed Nathaniel in the King George. The last time we backed a Gosden supplementary entry was in the 2010 King George, when we took the hint and backed Nathaniel to maximum stakes each-way when he won it as a three year old. Obviously the trainer will know how Great Heavens measures up to Nathaniel and the filly simply has to be of interest now that connections have taken the trouble to enter her, with conditions in her favour. She is a decent each-way price and we will have a maximum stakes each-way bet.
Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: -8.80 / year: -55.41
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