Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Thursday 11th October 2012

Two selections for this afternoon and a possible evening bet to 

1pt each-way double on today's selections.

3.40 Ayr Breezolini 4pts win @ 8/1 (Stan James, www.betpack.com, 15/2 Paddy Power, independents, guaranteed)

Since trasferring to the Harker stable this year, Breezolini has been given the chance to run on soft and heavy ground and has shown herself to act very well on it. She looks progressive on a slow surface and although she is sometimes slowly away, she looks unexposed and is my idea of the winner here. She missed the kick last time at Hamilton but stayed on really well in the closing stages without being given anything like a hard time. The horses who beat her both have form in better grades and today's contest looks more winnable. It looks a decent piece of placement by the trainer and the booking of Robert Winston, who rode Jamaican Bolt to land a course and distance gamble for us a couple of weeks ago, is a bonus - he rides Ayr really well.


5.10 Ayr Ebony Clarets 4pts win @ 13/2 (Stan James, www.betpack.com, guaranteed, 6/1 generally guaranteed)

Linda Perrett's stable have returned to form with a vengeance in recent weeks and Ebony Clarets looks a standout in this 0-70. She acts on heavy ground, and her third of nine in a three year old handicap here came in a better race than this. She followed it up with a close second at Musselburgh behind a progressive horse of Alan Swinbanks, and back against moderate opposition today she should go close off just one pound higher. Freddy Tylicki takes the ride and the price looks fair.


Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: -38.80 / year: -85.41

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