Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Tuesday 9th October 2012

Two selections at Catterick this afternoon.

1pt each-way double on today's selections - take 8/1 and 11/2 guaranteed with Totesport, Boylesports or Betfred)


2.00 Catterick Just Paul 4pts win @ 8/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)

Just a moderate nursery but there is a clear case to be made for Just Paul, who ran well in a better race over seven furlongs here last time out. He was 3lb out of the handicap that day and very keen over the trip, with his young jockey having to restrain him in rear off a muddling pace. He stayed on well to claim third late on, and although well beaten by two OR80+ types, he was unsuited to the way the race developed, probably raced on the wrong part of the track, and was out of the weights. He runs in a lesser contest today off his correct mark of OR63, and with a reasonable 7lb claimer reuniting with him for the ride, he looks too big a price at 8/1. The opposition don't look great and unless stall ten presents problems, he should go close to winning.

3.00 Catterick Lexington Place 4pts win @ 11/2 (Totesport, Boyesports, Betfred, Independents, guaranteed)

Interesting that shrewd betting connections have backed this one against the stable's apparent number one, who is not guaranteed to act on the ground and has been off for thirty days, which is on the outer echelons of what I like in s short priced two year old. The favourite also takes this engagement up instead of a more difficult one at York in a few days time which is not necessarily a good sign in my opinion. Lexington Place made a nice debut but was very keen early, he ran right to the line but might be better suited to having more use made of him today over a shorter trip. The ground should be no problem and although 7/1+ was available earlier, the price still looks fair and it is always heartening to see money come when Middleham Park's horses are concerned. Laura Barry is good value for her 7lb claim.


Profit & loss: day: -10.00 / month: -18.80 / year: -65.41

No comments: