A nice winner this afternoon.
1.30 Salisbury So Beloved 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 9/1 (William Hill guaranteed, 17/2 Stan James, Betpack, guaranteed, or take 9/1 Coral.) - WON
Two for this evening.
5.40 Kempton Royal Envoy 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 16/1 (Stan James, www.betpack.com, guaranteed, 12/1 generally guaranteed)
Most of these have physical or mental issues, and struggle to raise a gallop on a good day. This is quite simply one of the worst five furlongs sprints I've seen. Most of them have never won and race but the exception is nine year old Royal Envoy, who is drawn out in the car park in stall 12. He has won six times at this course, an admirable number of victories for a horse of his moderate ability, and a total of nine times in his career. His trainer is best known these days for coaxing win after win out of old Dvinsky, and he seems to be able to freshen up these old warhorses enough to get them to win moderate races on the all weather time and again. If the selection gets luck in running from his draw, there looks enough pace for him to run at late on and perhaps get up for place money at least. Hardly our bet of the year but worth a little investment all the same.
6.10 Kempton Isis Blue 2pts each-way AND 1pt win @ 14/1 (Stan James, www.betpack.com, guaranteed, 12/1 generally guaranteed)
This horse comes with a caveat attached, in that he is a two year old who hasn't run for 62 days which isn't something I normally like. However, the stable rarely send runners to the track unfit to do themselves justice, and I think they have a nice horse here, who looks overpriced. The selection made his debut at Ffos Llas and was sent off just 5/1 in a race that was decent for the track. That would suggest the selection is not a handicap project. He looked a really strong type physically, and although green and ultimately well beaten he showed a decent level of raw speed and looked sure to come on a bundle for the run. He is drawn well tonight in a maiden featuring a first time out brother to Dubawi Gold, but barring that the opposition look beatable providing he has improved for his first start. On that basis he looks a good price and we'll play win/place/win.
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Two for this afternoon, we will also have at least one evening bet released before 5.00pm.
From Roger Charlton's yard. Made a really nice debut at Newbury, was probably on the wrong side of the track but travelled up to lead a furlong out before fading, which his trainer said was due to weakness (apparently he is the biggest horse in the yard). He is more of a three year old project, so it is interesting Charlton sends him out in early October - I don't think they're trying to get a handicap mark, it looks like he is here to win. James Doyle takes the ride, he is bred to be pattern class, and many relatives have gone with cut in the ground, that coupled with his action is enough for me to take an each-way chance at very fair odds.
2.20 Nottingham Winnie Perry 1pt each-way AND 1pt win @ 25/1 (Generally, get guaranteed)
Represents the Millman stable, who can train good sprinting two year olds including second time out winners. Winnie Perry was really green at Sandown but was eye catching, making plenty of late headway including amongst horses and between tight gaps, which shows a lot of bravery in a 2yo sprinter. I can't see any particular reason why he is so big today, yes it is a competitive event but there are no superstars on show and the likes of Hoofalong and Robot Boy seem to have been priced up on reputation rather than what they have done on the track. At the prices we'll play our usual win/place/win.
Profit & loss: day: +19.60 / month: +15.60 / year: -31.01
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