Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Friday 30th November 2012

Despite some good quality action today, there are limited proper betting opportunities. Saying that, there is one overpriced horse at Wolverhampton.

5.55 Wolverhampton Advanced 1pt each-way AND 2pts win @ 12/1 (Stan James, Betpack.com, guaranteed, 11/1 generally guaranteed)

It might seem folly to recommend a 9yo who has never won over the mile trip, but Advanced has one decent piece of all weather form over a mile, at Lingfield off a mark of OR105 in 2010, and I have a sneaking feeling he might be able to stretch his stamina this evening given this might be a slowly run race, off a mark of OR83. His run at Lingfield last time was an excellent one, the form is strong for the grade and I don't think the standard to slow at Lingfield will have played to his strengths. He ran five pound above his current handicap mark, though, and on his old form he is chucked in tonight. Some of his rivals have question marks against them on recent form, and despite his big field handicap form he has won in fields of nine and seven. Amy Ryan is forging a decent partnership with him, and I think if he settles into a rhythm here he can get involved in the finish. The stable are in excellent form, and by playing each-way we can protect our outlay.


Profit & loss: day: -4.00 / month: +21.70 / year: +1.80

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